Falchion Case, 여는 게 공정한가

게임 내 케이스, Valve 확률

−$2.03 개봉당 평균 손실

최고 상품 ★ Falchion Knife | Fade · $208.63 · 개봉당 확률 0.02%

$100, 어떻게 되나

시나리오: 예산 $100 전부를 써서 케이스를 25번 열고, 얻은 드롭을 전부 마켓 가격에 판다고 가정했습니다. 결과는 이렇습니다:

가능한 개봉 수 25

$37.02 10번 중 8번: $26.72에서 $83.05 사이

플러스로 끝날 확률 6.3%

두 배가 될 확률 1.5%

최고 상품이 나올 확률 0.50%

아이템 29개

아이템	확률	마켓 가격
★ Falchion Knife \| Fade	0.02%	$208.63
★ Falchion Knife \| Slaughter	0.02%	$190.27
★ Falchion Knife \| Case Hardened	0.02%	$159.03
★ Falchion Knife \| Blue Steel	0.02%	$130.00
★ Falchion Knife \| Crimson Web	0.02%	$126.67
★ Falchion Knife	0.02%	$105.70
★ Falchion Knife \| Stained	0.02%	$78.74
★ Falchion Knife \| Urban Masked	0.02%	$75.37
★ Falchion Knife \| Night	0.02%	$74.20
★ Falchion Knife \| Scorched	0.02%	$63.54
★ Falchion Knife \| Boreal Forest	0.02%	$62.46
★ Falchion Knife \| Forest DDPAT	0.02%	$59.80
★ Falchion Knife \| Safari Mesh	0.02%	$55.91
AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge	0.32%	$45.04
AWP \| Hyper Beast	0.32%	$41.95
MP7 \| Nemesis	1.1%	$13.48
CZ75-Auto \| Yellow Jacket	1.1%	$5.68
SG 553 \| Cyrex	1.1%	$5.47
M4A4 \| Evil Daimyo	3.2%	$5.32
MP9 \| Ruby Poison Dart	3.2%	$2.55
FAMAS \| Neural Net	3.2%	$2.33
Galil AR \| Rocket Pop	13%	$1.67
P2000 \| Handgun	3.2%	$1.49
Glock-18 \| Bunsen Burner	13%	$1.34
USP-S \| Torque	13%	$1.15
Negev \| Loudmouth	3.2%	$1.04
UMP-45 \| Riot	13%	$0.52
Nova \| Ranger	13%	$0.49
P90 \| Elite Build	13%	$0.45