Apa yang berlaku kepada harga apabila case keluar daripada rotasi
Sebaik case keluar daripada drop pool aktif, pemain tidak lagi menerima salinan baharu dan penawaran di market mula susut. Kami mengambil sejarah jualan Steam untuk menunjukkan apa yang sebenarnya berlaku kepada harga pada kali-kali sebelumnya.
Case demi case
68Harga pada tarikh peristiwa ialah median jualan Steam dalam tetingkap ±3 hari. Kemudian kami bandingkan dengan harga 30, 90, 180 dan 365 hari selepasnya. Sengkang bermakna tempoh itu belum sampai atau tiada jualan pada tempoh tersebut.
| Case | Peristiwa | Harga pada tarikh itu | 30 hari | 90 hari | 180 hari | 365 hari | Kemuncak dalam setahun | Selepas peristiwa |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Recoil Case | Dikeluarkan daripada drop 12 Mac 2026 | $0.44 | +34.1% | +12.5% | −18.2% | — | +50.0% | |
 Snakebite Case | Dikeluarkan daripada drop 18 Dis 2025 | $0.75 | +0.7% | +2.0% | −2.7% | — | +22.1% | |
 Fracture Case | Dikeluarkan daripada drop 18 Dis 2025 | $0.57 | +10.5% | +28.1% | +36.0% | — | +57.9% | |
 Prisma 2 Case | Dikeluarkan daripada drop 18 Dis 2025 | $1.58 | +11.7% | +12.7% | +22.8% | — | +53.2% | |
 CS20 Case | Dikeluarkan daripada drop 18 Dis 2025 | $1.25 | +24.4% | +19.2% | +34.8% | — | +53.6% | |
 Prisma Case | Dikeluarkan daripada drop 18 Dis 2025 | $1.58 | +6.9% | +10.4% | +25.6% | — | +47.6% | |
 Danger Zone Case | Dikeluarkan daripada drop 18 Dis 2025 | $1.52 | +14.5% | +22.4% | +28.4% | — | +53.1% | |
 Horizon Case | Dikeluarkan daripada drop 18 Dis 2025 | $1.79 | +9.2% | +13.2% | +48.5% | — | +49.0% | |
 Clutch Case | Dikeluarkan daripada drop 18 Dis 2025 | $0.90 | +6.1% | +3.9% | +0.6% | — | +28.5% | |
 Spectrum 2 Case | Dikeluarkan daripada drop 18 Dis 2025 | $3.87 | −0.6% | −1.2% | +6.1% | — | +16.9% | |
 Operation Hydra Case | Dikeluarkan daripada drop 18 Dis 2025 | $44.21 | −7.5% | +7.3% | +6.8% | — | +27.4% | |
 Spectrum Case | Dikeluarkan daripada drop 18 Dis 2025 | $4.49 | +5.1% | +3.0% | +15.1% | — | +24.7% | |
 Glove Case | Dikeluarkan daripada drop 18 Dis 2025 | $27.73 | −26.7% | −36.7% | −26.0% | — | +1.6% | |
 Gamma 2 Case | Dikeluarkan daripada drop 18 Dis 2025 | $5.00 | −11.7% | −16.8% | −14.6% | — | +17.0% | |
 Gamma Case | Dikeluarkan daripada drop 18 Dis 2025 | $5.46 | −17.0% | −21.1% | −20.0% | — | +18.9% | |
 Chroma 3 Case | Dikeluarkan daripada drop 18 Dis 2025 | $4.36 | −1.9% | −1.5% | +3.7% | — | +16.5% | |
 Operation Wildfire Case | Dikeluarkan daripada drop 18 Dis 2025 | $3.62 | +13.3% | +59.3% | +28.5% | — | +64.0% | |
 Revolver Case | Dikeluarkan daripada drop 18 Dis 2025 | $3.50 | +1.1% | −0.4% | +10.0% | — | +29.4% | |
 Shadow Case | Dikeluarkan daripada drop 18 Dis 2025 | $1.83 | +6.0% | +29.2% | +32.2% | — | +56.3% | |
 Falchion Case | Dikeluarkan daripada drop 18 Dis 2025 | $1.64 | +46.6% | +52.1% | +33.8% | — | +63.4% | |
 Chroma 2 Case | Dikeluarkan daripada drop 18 Dis 2025 | $4.74 | −2.5% | +7.2% | +7.8% | — | +29.0% | |
 Chroma Case | Dikeluarkan daripada drop 18 Dis 2025 | $5.45 | +3.8% | +10.6% | +17.1% | — | +39.3% | |
 Operation Vanguard Weapon Case | Dikeluarkan daripada drop 18 Dis 2025 | $4.90 | +11.7% | +48.5% | +60.4% | — | +66.4% | |
 Operation Breakout Weapon Case | Dikeluarkan daripada drop 18 Dis 2025 | $10.12 | +4.0% | +8.2% | +5.2% | — | +13.8% | |
 Community Sticker Capsule 1 | Dikeluarkan daripada drop 18 Dis 2025 | $2.13 | +53.1% | +47.4% | +55.4% | — | +74.2% | |
 Huntsman Weapon Case | Dikeluarkan daripada drop 18 Dis 2025 | $8.82 | +14.6% | +52.5% | +30.0% | — | +60.7% | |
 Sticker Capsule 2 | Dikeluarkan daripada drop 18 Dis 2025 | $11.94 | +10.6% | +15.9% | +15.8% | — | +32.4% | |
 Operation Phoenix Weapon Case | Dikeluarkan daripada drop 18 Dis 2025 | $4.70 | +6.9% | +11.7% | +13.6% | — | +23.4% | |
 CS:GO Weapon Case 3 | Dikeluarkan daripada drop 18 Dis 2025 | $9.75 | +34.0% | +123.3% | +76.4% | — | +128.9% | |
 Sticker Capsule | Dikeluarkan daripada drop 18 Dis 2025 | $0.69 | +18.2% | +21.2% | +20.4% | — | +62.0% | |
 Winter Offensive Weapon Case | Dikeluarkan daripada drop 18 Dis 2025 | $7.82 | +22.6% | +96.4% | +77.7% | — | +142.8% | |
 CS:GO Weapon Case 2 | Dikeluarkan daripada drop 18 Dis 2025 | $13.20 | +26.1% | +108.0% | +119.5% | — | +152.4% | |
 Operation Bravo Case | Dikeluarkan daripada drop 18 Dis 2025 | $44.80 | +18.7% | +72.9% | +79.2% | — | +101.1% | |
 CS:GO Weapon Case | Dikeluarkan daripada drop 18 Dis 2025 | $89.45 | +30.0% | +120.9% | +91.7% | — | +152.4% | |
 Gallery Case | Dikeluarkan daripada drop 2 Okt 2025 | $1.23 | +16.2% | +14.2% | +2.0% | — | +39.3% | |
| Fracture Case | Berpindah ke drop jarang 17 Sep 2025 | $0.69 | −2.2% | −21.0% | +6.5% | −11.6% | +30.4% | |
| Snakebite Case | Berpindah ke drop jarang 7 Feb 2024 | $0.21 | −4.8% | +9.5% | −21.4% | +61.9% | +61.9% | |
| Clutch Case | Berpindah ke drop jarang 10 Feb 2023 | $0.36 | +50.0% | +98.6% | +80.6% | +1.4% | +302.8% | |
| Prisma 2 Case | Berpindah ke drop jarang 1 Jul 2022 | $0.06 | +100.0% | +225.0% | +133.3% | +875.0% | +1683.3% | |
| Danger Zone Case | Berpindah ke drop jarang 18 Jan 2022 | $0.04 | +25.0% | +137.5% | +150.0% | +325.0% | +325.0% | |
| CS20 Case | Berpindah ke drop jarang 3 Jun 2021 | $0.12 | +52.2% | +21.7% | −13.0% | +39.1% | +143.5% | |
| Horizon Case | Berpindah ke drop jarang 3 Jun 2021 | $0.08 | +5.9% | +5.9% | −17.6% | +76.5% | +88.2% | |
| Spectrum 2 Case | Berpindah ke drop jarang 3 Jun 2021 | $0.28 | +9.1% | +16.4% | −23.6% | +127.3% | +132.7% | |
| Gamma 2 Case | Berpindah ke drop jarang 3 Jun 2021 | $0.30 | +16.7% | +41.7% | −13.3% | +173.3% | +193.3% | |
| Chroma 3 Case | Berpindah ke drop jarang 3 Jun 2021 | $0.12 | +16.7% | +16.7% | +4.2% | +379.2% | +408.3% | |
| Revolver Case | Berpindah ke drop jarang 3 Jun 2021 | $0.08 | +20.0% | +33.3% | +20.0% | +206.7% | +220.0% | |
| Prisma Case | Berpindah ke drop jarang 3 Mei 2021 | $0.04 | +62.5% | +50.0% | −25.0% | +100.0% | +150.0% | |
| Spectrum Case | Berpindah ke drop jarang 13 Mac 2019 | $0.00 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Glove Case | Berpindah ke drop jarang 6 Dis 2018 | $0.00 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Gamma Case | Berpindah ke drop jarang 15 Feb 2018 | $0.00 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Operation Hydra Case | Berpindah ke drop jarang 13 Nov 2017 | $0.21 | +242.9% | +802.4% | +881.0% | +1321.4% | +1671.4% | |
| Operation Wildfire Case | Berpindah ke drop jarang 14 Sep 2017 | $0.00 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Chroma 2 Case | Berpindah ke drop jarang 15 Mac 2017 | $0.01 | −100.0% | −100.0% | −100.0% | −50.0% | 0.0% | |
| Shadow Case | Berpindah ke drop jarang 18 Ogo 2016 | $0.01 | 0.0% | 0.0% | +100.0% | +100.0% | +200.0% | |
| Falchion Case | Berpindah ke drop jarang 15 Jun 2016 | $0.03 | −33.3% | −66.7% | −33.3% | −33.3% | 0.0% | |
| Operation Breakout Weapon Case | Berpindah ke drop jarang 20 Apr 2016 | $0.03 | +33.3% | −33.3% | −66.7% | −66.7% | +133.3% | |
| Operation Phoenix Weapon Case | Berpindah ke drop jarang 8 Dis 2015 | $0.04 | +42.9% | +42.9% | +128.6% | +14.3% | +300.0% | |
| Chroma Case | Berpindah ke drop jarang 17 Sep 2015 | $0.01 | +200.0% | +200.0% | +900.0% | +300.0% | +900.0% | |
 eSports 2014 Summer Case | Dikeluarkan daripada drop 17 Sep 2015 | $0.09 | +44.4% | +55.6% | +188.9% | +100.0% | +366.7% | |
| Huntsman Weapon Case | Berpindah ke drop jarang 15 Apr 2015 | $0.03 | +183.3% | +450.0% | +1083.3% | +2733.3% | +3000.0% | |
| CS:GO Weapon Case 3 | Berpindah ke drop jarang 15 Apr 2015 | $0.10 | −20.0% | −20.0% | +45.0% | +235.0% | +320.0% | |
| Operation Vanguard Weapon Case | Berpindah ke drop jarang 31 Mac 2015 | $0.03 | +20.0% | +60.0% | +220.0% | +500.0% | +700.0% | |
| Winter Offensive Weapon Case | Berpindah ke drop jarang 1 Okt 2014 | $0.11 | +90.9% | +390.9% | +504.5% | +627.3% | +681.8% | |
 eSports 2013 Winter Case | Dikeluarkan daripada drop 10 Jul 2014 | $0.03 | +100.0% | +200.0% | +283.3% | +200.0% | +500.0% | |
| CS:GO Weapon Case 2 | Berpindah ke drop jarang 12 Feb 2014 | $0.03 | +33.3% | +166.7% | +316.7% | +616.7% | +1000.0% | |
| Operation Bravo Case | Berpindah ke drop jarang 5 Feb 2014 | $0.14 | +496.4% | +996.4% | +2028.6% | +2203.6% | +3307.1% | |
 eSports 2013 Case | Dikeluarkan daripada drop 18 Dis 2013 | $0.03 | +66.7% | +716.7% | +1983.3% | +4150.0% | +5433.3% | |
| CS:GO Weapon Case | Berpindah ke drop jarang 28 Nov 2013 | $0.05 | +100.0% | +1050.0% | +1650.0% | +5590.0% | +7300.0% |
Kini dalam drop pool aktif
5Jika case keluar daripada rotasi, median kes-kes lalu (+21.5% dalam 90 hari) memberi harga ini:
Sealed Dead Hand Terminal $0.36 → $0.44 
Sealed Genesis Terminal $0.05 → $0.06 
Ini bukan ramalan: kami hanya menyalin median kes lalu kepada harga semasa. Setiap kali keluar daripada rotasi berlaku dengan cara tersendiri.
Soalan lazim
Mengapa harga naik apabila case keluar daripada drop?
Selagi case berada dalam drop pool aktif, pemain menerimanya secara percuma setiap minggu dan salinan baharu terus menekan harga. Selepas keluar daripada rotasi, aliran masuk berhenti: case terus dibuka, tiada yang baharu, jadi penawaran hanya boleh susut.
Apa bezanya "berpindah ke drop jarang" dan "dikeluarkan daripada drop"?
Dalam drop pool jarang, case masih jatuh tetapi dengan peluang amat kecil, jadi aliran masuk hampir terhenti. "Dikeluarkan daripada drop" bermakna ia tidak jatuh lagi dan hanya boleh dibeli di market.
Bolehkah jadual ini meramal harga?
Tidak. Median menunjukkan gelagat biasa, tetapi sebarannya sangat luas: ada case yang berganda dalam sebulan, ada yang mendatar setahun. Operation, major dan perubahan peraturan trade juga memberi kesan — itulah penanda pada graf.
Dari mana tarikh rotasi diperoleh?
Daripada panduan drop pool di Steam (bahagian discontinued dan Recent Changes) dan rekod kami sendiri: setiap kali pool dikemas kini, kami membandingkan senarai dan mencatat perubahan.
Harga daripada sejarah jualan Steam Community Market; tarikh rotasi daripada panduan drop pool dan rekod kami sendiri. Drop pool mingguan →