开 Snakebite Case 公平吗

游戏内武器箱，Valve 官方概率

−CN¥10.64 每次开箱平均亏损

头奖 ★ Sport Gloves | Nocts · CN¥4113.20 · 每次开箱 0.01% 的概率

CN¥700 会变成什么样

CN¥

场景：用 CN¥700 的全部预算开 36 次箱子，再把所有掉落按市场价卖掉。结果如下：

够开多少次 36

CN¥191.54 十次里有八次：CN¥120.65 到 CN¥529.28

盈利概率 6.9%

翻倍概率 1.7%

开出头奖的概率 0.39%

41 件物品

物品	概率	市场价格
★ Sport Gloves \| Nocts	0.01%	CN¥4113.20
★ Sport Gloves \| Slingshot	0.01%	CN¥2776.75
★ Driver Gloves \| Snow Leopard	0.01%	CN¥2030.10
★ Sport Gloves \| Scarlet Shamagh	0.01%	CN¥1296.91
★ Specialist Gloves \| Tiger Strike	0.01%	CN¥1210.09
★ Specialist Gloves \| Marble Fade	0.01%	CN¥1139.07
★ Driver Gloves \| Black Tie	0.01%	CN¥993.33
★ Specialist Gloves \| Field Agent	0.01%	CN¥963.94
★ Sport Gloves \| Big Game	0.01%	CN¥943.09
★ Hand Wraps \| CAUTION!	0.01%	CN¥864.67
★ Moto Gloves \| Blood Pressure	0.01%	CN¥829.16
★ Moto Gloves \| Smoke Out	0.01%	CN¥794.80
★ Specialist Gloves \| Lt. Commander	0.01%	CN¥757.88
★ Moto Gloves \| Finish Line	0.01%	CN¥592.50
★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Jade	0.01%	CN¥529.75
★ Driver Gloves \| Rezan the Red	0.01%	CN¥472.72
★ Driver Gloves \| Queen Jaguar	0.01%	CN¥387.45
★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Unhinged	0.01%	CN¥380.59
★ Hand Wraps \| Constrictor	0.01%	CN¥356.78
★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Yellow-banded	0.01%	CN¥336.13
★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Needle Point	0.01%	CN¥309.90
★ Moto Gloves \| 3rd Commando Company	0.01%	CN¥302.30
★ Hand Wraps \| Giraffe	0.01%	CN¥299.75
★ Hand Wraps \| Desert Shamagh	0.01%	CN¥295.71
USP-S \| The Traitor	0.32%	CN¥265.45
M4A4 \| In Living Color	0.32%	CN¥258.25
AK-47 \| Slate	3.2%	CN¥35.17
Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration	1.1%	CN¥33.63
MP9 \| Food Chain	1.1%	CN¥31.74
XM1014 \| XOXO	1.1%	CN¥29.32