Return from opening Glove Case

In-game case, Valve odds

−$0.00 Average loss per opening

Top prize ★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze · $4 203.60 · 0.01% chance per opening

What happens to $100

Scenario: open the case 15 times with the whole $100 budget and sell every drop at market prices. Here is what you get:

Openings it buys 15

$48.23 8 times out of 10: between $31.20 and $271.96

Chance to end ahead 17%

Chance to double 12%

Chance at the top prize 0.16%

Contents and odds

41 items

Item	Odds	Market price
★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze	0.01%	$4 203.60
★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box	0.01%	$3 509.99
★ Sport Gloves \| Superconductor	0.01%	$1 766.99
★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Kimono	0.01%	$1 734.34
★ Moto Gloves \| Spearmint	0.01%	$1 696.48
★ Specialist Gloves \| Emerald Web	0.01%	$1 131.85
★ Driver Gloves \| Crimson Weave	0.01%	$972.60
★ Sport Gloves \| Arid	0.01%	$900.89
★ Moto Gloves \| Cool Mint	0.01%	$844.65
★ Specialist Gloves \| Foundation	0.01%	$730.07
★ Driver Gloves \| Lunar Weave	0.01%	$556.89
★ Hand Wraps \| Leather	0.01%	$519.50
★ Hand Wraps \| Slaughter	0.01%	$435.60
★ Moto Gloves \| Eclipse	0.01%	$426.90
★ Driver Gloves \| Convoy	0.01%	$409.70
★ Moto Gloves \| Boom!	0.01%	$406.29
★ Driver Gloves \| Diamondback	0.01%	$368.15
★ Hand Wraps \| Badlands	0.01%	$358.96
★ Hand Wraps \| Spruce DDPAT	0.01%	$321.86
M4A4 \| Buzz Kill	0.32%	$254.35
★ Specialist Gloves \| Forest DDPAT	0.01%	$253.97
SSG 08 \| Dragonfire	0.32%	$237.85
★ Bloodhound Gloves \| Charred	0.01%	$203.96
★ Bloodhound Gloves \| Bronzed	0.01%	$185.31
★ Bloodhound Gloves \| Guerrilla	0.01%	$161.37
★ Bloodhound Gloves \| Snakebite	0.01%	$160.46
FAMAS \| Mecha Industries	1.1%	$44.61
Sawed-Off \| Wasteland Princess	1.1%	$29.86
P90 \| Shallow Grave	1.1%	$29.13
USP-S \| Cyrex	3.2%	$9.21

The calculation uses current market prices and published odds. It is a statistical estimate; an individual opening can differ.

Open in the simulator Case page

Ranked 1 of 42 CS2 cases by payout

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Questions

Why is the Glove Case payout below 100%?

The case and key cost $6.62, and almost everything that drops is a cheap skin: 79.92% for the lowest tier, 0.26% for a knife or gloves. Multiply the odds by market prices and you get 112% — that much of every 100 comes back on average.

Where do the prices come from?

The best market offers at the time of the calculation: Skinport, CSFloat, Market.CSGO, DMarket, Waxpeer and White.Market. That is what a drop actually sells for, not a display price.

What does “openings until zero” mean?

The model sells each drop and opens again while the balance covers the next case. For Glove Case, the median balance falls below the opening price after about 30 openings attempts.

What if I get lucky?

Over 15 openings the chance to pull ★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze is 0.2%, and the chance to double the budget is 12%.