Return from opening Chroma 3 Case
Top prize ★ Karambit | Doppler · $1 203.56 · 0.0043% chance per opening
What happens to $100
Scenario: open the case 23 times with the whole $100 budget and sell every drop at market prices. Here is what you get:
Contents and odds
77 items
The calculation uses current market prices and published odds. It is a statistical estimate; an individual opening can differ.
Ranked 5 of 42 CS2 cases by payout
Cases with a similar payout
Questions
Why is the Chroma 3 Case payout below 100%?
The case and key cost $4.26, and almost everything that drops is a cheap skin: 79.92% for the lowest tier, 0.26% for a knife or gloves. Multiply the odds by market prices and you get 68% — that much of every 100 comes back on average.
Where do the prices come from?
The best market offers at the time of the calculation: Skinport, CSFloat, Market.CSGO, DMarket, Waxpeer and White.Market. That is what a drop actually sells for, not a display price.
What does “openings until zero” mean?
The model sells each drop and opens again while the balance covers the next case. For Chroma 3 Case, the median balance falls below the opening price after about 30 openings attempts.
What if I get lucky?
Over 23 openings the chance to pull ★ Karambit | Doppler is 0.1%, and the chance to double the budget is 5.3%.