Return from opening Huntsman Weapon Case
Top prize AK-47 | Vulcan · $237.50 · 0.32% chance per opening
What happens to $100
Scenario: open the case 10 times with the whole $100 budget and sell every drop at market prices. Here is what you get:
Contents and odds
28 items| Item | Odds | Market price |
|---|---|---|
 AK-47 | Vulcan | 0.32% | $237.50 |
 ★ Huntsman Knife | Fade | 0.02% | $216.92 |
 ★ Huntsman Knife | Slaughter | 0.02% | $211.01 |
 ★ Huntsman Knife | Case Hardened | 0.02% | $159.84 |
 ★ Huntsman Knife | Blue Steel | 0.02% | $131.22 |
 ★ Huntsman Knife | Crimson Web | 0.02% | $127.74 |
 ★ Huntsman Knife | Forest DDPAT | 0.02% | $111.81 |
 ★ Huntsman Knife | 0.02% | $106.95 |
 ★ Huntsman Knife | Stained | 0.02% | $89.63 |
 ★ Huntsman Knife | Night | 0.02% | $83.00 |
 ★ Huntsman Knife | Scorched | 0.02% | $70.44 |
 ★ Huntsman Knife | Urban Masked | 0.02% | $60.79 |
 ★ Huntsman Knife | Boreal Forest | 0.02% | $56.09 |
 ★ Huntsman Knife | Safari Mesh | 0.02% | $54.43 |
 USP-S | Caiman | 1.1% | $38.64 |
 M4A4 | Desert-Strike | 0.32% | $34.87 |
 M4A1-S | Atomic Alloy | 1.1% | $33.49 |
 SCAR-20 | Cyrex | 1.1% | $25.66 |
 XM1014 | Heaven Guard | 4.0% | $5.56 |
 MAC-10 | Tatter | 4.0% | $5.36 |
 AUG | Torque | 4.0% | $5.08 |
 PP-Bizon | Antique | 4.0% | $5.05 |
 Tec-9 | Isaac | 13% | $3.59 |
 Galil AR | Kami | 13% | $2.21 |
 P2000 | Pulse | 13% | $1.67 |
 CZ75-Auto | Twist | 13% | $1.15 |
 SSG 08 | Slashed | 13% | $1.06 |
 P90 | Module | 13% | $1.02 |
The calculation uses current market prices and published odds. It is a statistical estimate; an individual opening can differ.
Ranked 27 of 42 CS2 cases by payout
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Questions
Why is the Huntsman Weapon Case payout below 100%?
The case and key cost $9.79, and almost everything that drops is a cheap skin: 79.92% for the lowest tier, 0.26% for a knife or gloves. Multiply the odds by market prices and you get 46% — that much of every 100 comes back on average.
Where do the prices come from?
The best market offers at the time of the calculation: Skinport, CSFloat, Market.CSGO, DMarket, Waxpeer and White.Market. That is what a drop actually sells for, not a display price.
What does “openings until zero” mean?
The model sells each drop and opens again while the balance covers the next case. For Huntsman Weapon Case, the median balance falls below the opening price after about 14 openings attempts.
What if I get lucky?
Over 10 openings the chance to pull AK-47 | Vulcan is 3.2%, and the chance to double the budget is 3.9%.