Return from opening Operation Breakout Weapon Case
Top prize ★ Butterfly Knife | Fade · $2 058.10 · 0.02% chance per opening
What happens to $100
Scenario: open the case 10 times with the whole $100 budget and sell every drop at market prices. Here is what you get:
Contents and odds
27 items| Item | Odds | Market price |
|---|---|---|
 ★ Butterfly Knife | Fade | 0.02% | $2 058.10 |
 ★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter | 0.02% | $1 228.37 |
 ★ Butterfly Knife | 0.02% | $1 179.35 |
 ★ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel | 0.02% | $754.77 |
 ★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened | 0.02% | $711.51 |
 ★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web | 0.02% | $708.08 |
 ★ Butterfly Knife | Stained | 0.02% | $557.51 |
 ★ Butterfly Knife | Night | 0.02% | $517.99 |
 ★ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked | 0.02% | $446.00 |
 ★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched | 0.02% | $436.45 |
 ★ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest | 0.02% | $421.07 |
 ★ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT | 0.02% | $410.92 |
 ★ Butterfly Knife | Safari Mesh | 0.02% | $404.11 |
 P90 | Asiimov | 0.32% | $167.56 |
 M4A1-S | Cyrex | 0.32% | $166.24 |
 Glock-18 | Water Elemental | 1.1% | $21.14 |
 Desert Eagle | Conspiracy | 1.1% | $19.29 |
 Five-SeveN | Fowl Play | 1.1% | $18.87 |
 P250 | Supernova | 4.0% | $2.28 |
 Nova | Koi | 4.0% | $2.20 |
 CZ75-Auto | Tigris | 4.0% | $2.17 |
 PP-Bizon | Osiris | 4.0% | $2.16 |
 SSG 08 | Abyss | 16% | $0.67 |
 MP7 | Urban Hazard | 16% | $0.52 |
 P2000 | Ivory | 16% | $0.45 |
 UMP-45 | Labyrinth | 16% | $0.36 |
 Negev | Desert-Strike | 16% | $0.33 |
The calculation uses current market prices and published odds. It is a statistical estimate; an individual opening can differ.
Ranked 27 of 42 CS2 cases by payout
Cases with a similar payout
Questions
Why is the Operation Breakout Weapon Case payout below 100%?
The case and key cost $9.49, and almost everything that drops is a cheap skin: 79.92% for the lowest tier, 0.26% for a knife or gloves. Multiply the odds by market prices and you get 46% — that much of every 100 comes back on average.
Where do the prices come from?
The best market offers at the time of the calculation: Skinport, CSFloat, Market.CSGO, DMarket, Waxpeer and White.Market. That is what a drop actually sells for, not a display price.
What does “openings until zero” mean?
The model sells each drop and opens again while the balance covers the next case. For Operation Breakout Weapon Case, the median balance falls below the opening price after about 11 openings attempts.
What if I get lucky?
Over 10 openings the chance to pull ★ Butterfly Knife | Fade is 0.2%, and the chance to double the budget is 2.2%.