Spectrum 2 Case: 65% RTP, 18% profit — CS2Collections.net
Spectrum 2 Case

Return from opening Spectrum 2 Case

In-game case, Valve odds Opening price$3.87
E Grade
65% Payout
−$1.36 Average loss per opening

Top prize ★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler · $1 984.73 · 0.0043% chance per opening

What happens to $100

Scenario: open the case 25 times with the whole $100 budget and sell every drop at market prices. Here is what you get:

Openings it buys 25
Left after 25 openings $25.80 8 times out of 10: between $13.51 and $119.66
Chance to end ahead 18%
Chance to double 3.8%
Chance at the top prize 0.11%
Openings until zero 33

The calculation uses current market prices and published odds. It is a statistical estimate; an individual opening can differ.

Ranked 8 of 42 CS2 cases by payout

Cases with a similar payout

Questions

Why is the Spectrum 2 Case payout below 100%?

The case and key cost $3.87, and almost everything that drops is a cheap skin: 79.92% for the lowest tier, 0.26% for a knife or gloves. Multiply the odds by market prices and you get 65% — that much of every 100 comes back on average.

Where do the prices come from?

The best market offers at the time of the calculation: Skinport, CSFloat, Market.CSGO, DMarket, Waxpeer and White.Market. That is what a drop actually sells for, not a display price.

What does “openings until zero” mean?

The model sells each drop and opens again while the balance covers the next case. For Spectrum 2 Case, the median balance falls below the opening price after about 33 openings attempts.

What if I get lucky?

Over 25 openings the chance to pull ★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler is 0.1%, and the chance to double the budget is 3.8%.