CS2 Classified → Covert trade-ups

We scan every collection, wear and mix against live market prices. Each contract gets a range rather than a single number: what it returns on the worst input float, on the best one, and how likely it is to land in profit.

Sets evaluated 37917

With positive expectancy 31

Best expected profit $12.98

Updated 3 minutes ago

Selling fee

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Budget

Regular contracts

×10

10× UMP-45 | Primal Saber

The Chroma 3 Collection · FN · Factory New

Buying blind +$12.98

Input cost: $153.40
On the worst float: $111.33
On the best float: $170.40
Result spread: $54.50
Price per item: $15.34

Profit range Worst outcome $111.33, best $170.40; buying blind $166.38.

In 53.4% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire Factory New 50.0% $249.66
PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis Factory New 50.0% $129.00

Open in the builder

×9

×1

9× UMP-45 | Primal Saber + 1× Zeus x27 | Olympus

The Chroma 3 Collection · FN · Factory New

Buying blind +$11.08

Input cost: $145.35
On the worst float: $104.12
On the best float: $161.43
Result spread: $58.26
Price per item: $14.54

Profit range Worst outcome $104.12, best $161.43; buying blind $156.43.

In 59.1% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire Factory New 45.0% $249.66
PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis Factory New 45.0% $129.00
AK-47 | Inheritance Factory New 5.0% $112.76

Open in the builder

×9

×1

9× UMP-45 | Primal Saber + 1× P90 | Deathgaze

The Chroma 3 Collection · FN · Factory New

Buying blind +$10.80

Input cost: $156.56
On the worst float: $108.91
On the best float: $169.99
Result spread: $52.23
Price per item: $15.66

Profit range Worst outcome $108.91, best $169.99; buying blind $167.36.

In 52.1% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire Factory New 45.0% $249.66
AWP | Queen's Gambit Factory New 5.0% $202.99
Glock-18 | Fully Tuned Factory New 5.0% $166.57

Open in the builder

×9

×1

9× UMP-45 | Primal Saber + 1× UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

The Chroma 3 Collection · FN · Factory New

Buying blind +$9.90

Input cost: $151.56
On the worst float: $105.12
On the best float: $163.97
Result spread: $56.91
Price per item: $15.16

Profit range Worst outcome $105.12, best $163.97; buying blind $161.46.

In 56.9% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire Factory New 45.0% $249.66
AWP | Printstream Factory New 5.0% $165.73
PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis Factory New 45.0% $129.00

Open in the builder

×10

10× AUG | Momentum

The Prisma Collection · MW · Minimal Wear

Buying blind +$9.89

Input cost: $131.20
On the worst float: $54.23
On the best float: $145.34
Result spread: $83.21
Price per item: $13.12

Profit range Worst outcome $54.23, best $145.34; buying blind $141.09.

In 52.5% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

M4A4 | The Emperor Factory New 50.0% $253.99
Five-SeveN | Angry Mob Factory New 50.0% $68.99

Open in the builder

×9

×1

9× UMP-45 | Primal Saber + 1× P250 | Visions

The Chroma 3 Collection · FN · Factory New

Buying blind +$9.47

Input cost: $146.99
On the worst float: $105.92
On the best float: $160.86
Result spread: $58.52
Price per item: $14.70

Profit range Worst outcome $105.92, best $160.86; buying blind $156.46.

In 58.7% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire Factory New 45.0% $249.66
PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis Factory New 45.0% $129.00
USP-S | Printstream Factory New 5.0% $96.50

Open in the builder

×8

×2

8× UMP-45 | Primal Saber + 2× Zeus x27 | Olympus

The Chroma 3 Collection · FN · Factory New

Buying blind +$9.16

Input cost: $137.30
On the worst float: $96.91
On the best float: $152.46
Result spread: $60.35
Price per item: $13.73

Profit range Worst outcome $96.91, best $152.46; buying blind $146.46.

In 64.7% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire Factory New 40.0% $249.66
PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis Factory New 40.0% $129.00
AK-47 | Inheritance Factory New 10.0% $112.76

Open in the builder

×9

×1

9× UMP-45 | Primal Saber + 1× AUG | Stymphalian

The Chroma 3 Collection · FN · Factory New

Buying blind +$8.93

Input cost: $146.61
On the worst float: $105.43
On the best float: $161.08
Result spread: $58.12
Price per item: $14.66

Profit range Worst outcome $105.43, best $161.08; buying blind $155.54.

In 59.7% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire Factory New 45.0% $249.66
PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis Factory New 45.0% $129.00
M4A4 | Neo-Noir Factory New 5.0% $100.93

Open in the builder

×9

×1

9× UMP-45 | Primal Saber + 1× AWP | Duality

The Chroma 3 Collection · FN · Factory New

Buying blind +$8.44

Input cost: $149.95
On the worst float: $104.66
On the best float: $161.87
Result spread: $57.46
Price per item: $14.99

Profit range Worst outcome $104.66, best $161.87; buying blind $158.39.

In 57.8% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire Factory New 45.0% $249.66
PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis Factory New 45.0% $129.00
M4A4 | Temukau Factory New 5.0% $102.19

Open in the builder

×8

×2

8× UMP-45 | Primal Saber + 2× P90 | Deathgaze

The Chroma 3 Collection · FN · Factory New

Buying blind +$8.26

Input cost: $159.72
On the worst float: $106.48
On the best float: $169.58
Result spread: $49.61
Price per item: $15.97

Profit range Worst outcome $106.48, best $169.58; buying blind $167.98.

In 51.2% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire Factory New 40.0% $249.66
AWP | Queen's Gambit Factory New 10.0% $202.99
Glock-18 | Fully Tuned Factory New 10.0% $166.57

Open in the builder

×9

×1

9× UMP-45 | Primal Saber + 1× Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic

The Chroma 3 Collection · FN · Factory New

Buying blind +$8.14

Input cost: $163.34
On the worst float: $108.50
On the best float: $174.36
Result spread: $54.43
Price per item: $16.33

Profit range Worst outcome $108.50, best $174.36; buying blind $171.48.

In 47.4% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

AK-47 | The Oligarch Factory New 5.0% $269.58
M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire Factory New 45.0% $249.66
M4A4 | Full Throttle Factory New 5.0% $197.07

Open in the builder

×9

×1

9× UMP-45 | Primal Saber + 1× P90 | Nostalgia

The Chroma 3 Collection · FN · Factory New

Buying blind +$8.04

Input cost: $147.97
On the worst float: $105.99
On the best float: $162.86
Result spread: $56.62
Price per item: $14.80

Profit range Worst outcome $105.99, best $162.86; buying blind $156.01.

In 60.8% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire Factory New 45.0% $249.66
AWP | Wildfire Factory New 5.0% $145.21
PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis Factory New 45.0% $129.00

Open in the builder

×9

×1

9× UMP-45 | Primal Saber + 1× XM1014 | XOXO

The Chroma 3 Collection · FN · Factory New

Buying blind +$7.55

Input cost: $152.46
On the worst float: $104.29
On the best float: $162.86
Result spread: $56.39
Price per item: $15.25

Profit range Worst outcome $104.29, best $162.86; buying blind $160.01.

In 57.3% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire Factory New 45.0% $249.66
PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis Factory New 45.0% $129.00
USP-S | The Traitor Factory New 5.0% $114.63

Open in the builder

×7

×3

7× UMP-45 | Primal Saber + 3× Zeus x27 | Olympus

The Chroma 3 Collection · FN · Factory New

Buying blind +$7.28

Input cost: $129.25
On the worst float: $89.70
On the best float: $143.48
Result spread: $60.99
Price per item: $12.93

Profit range Worst outcome $89.70, best $143.48; buying blind $136.53.

In 70.2% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire Factory New 35.0% $249.66
PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis Factory New 35.0% $129.00
AK-47 | Inheritance Factory New 15.0% $112.76

Open in the builder

×9

×1

9× UMP-45 | Primal Saber + 1× MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

The Chroma 3 Collection · FN · Factory New

Buying blind +$7.27

Input cost: $153.13
On the worst float: $106.24
On the best float: $162.72
Result spread: $56.49
Price per item: $15.31

Profit range Worst outcome $106.24, best $162.72; buying blind $160.40.

In 56.9% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire Factory New 45.0% $249.66
PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis Factory New 45.0% $129.00
AK-47 | Nightwish Factory New 5.0% $113.66

Open in the builder

×8

×2

8× UMP-45 | Primal Saber + 2× UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

The Chroma 3 Collection · FN · Factory New

Buying blind +$6.35

Input cost: $149.72
On the worst float: $98.90
On the best float: $157.53
Result spread: $58.44
Price per item: $14.97

Profit range Worst outcome $98.90, best $157.53; buying blind $156.07.

In 60.9% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire Factory New 40.0% $249.66
AWP | Printstream Factory New 10.0% $165.73
PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis Factory New 40.0% $129.00

Open in the builder

×9

×1

9× UMP-45 | Primal Saber + 1× XM1014 | Entombed

The Chroma 3 Collection · FN · Factory New

Buying blind +$6.10

Input cost: $143.57
On the worst float: $104.49
On the best float: $158.84
Result spread: $60.45
Price per item: $14.36

Profit range Worst outcome $104.49, best $158.84; buying blind $149.67.

In 62.8% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire Factory New 45.0% $249.66
PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis Factory New 45.0% $129.00
Desert Eagle | Printstream Factory New 5.0% $69.69

Open in the builder

×8

×2

8× UMP-45 | Primal Saber + 2× P250 | Visions

The Chroma 3 Collection · FN · Factory New

Buying blind +$6.04

Input cost: $140.58
On the worst float: $100.50
On the best float: $151.33
Result spread: $60.71
Price per item: $14.06

Profit range Worst outcome $100.50, best $151.33; buying blind $146.62.

In 64.0% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire Factory New 40.0% $249.66
PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis Factory New 40.0% $129.00
USP-S | Printstream Factory New 10.0% $96.50

Open in the builder

×9

×1

9× UMP-45 | Primal Saber + 1× Nova | Hyper Beast

The Chroma 3 Collection · FN · Factory New

Buying blind +$5.83

Input cost: $161.56
On the worst float: $113.46
On the best float: $174.60
Result spread: $65.25
Price per item: $16.16

Profit range Worst outcome $113.46, best $174.60; buying blind $167.39.

In 55.2% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

AK-47 | Fuel Injector Factory New 5.0% $375.16
M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire Factory New 45.0% $249.66
PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis Factory New 45.0% $129.00

Open in the builder

×9

×1

9× UMP-45 | Primal Saber + 1× CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

The Chroma 3 Collection · FN · Factory New

Buying blind +$5.73

Input cost: $159.54
On the worst float: $104.75
On the best float: $168.01
Result spread: $52.85
Price per item: $15.95

Profit range Worst outcome $104.75, best $168.01; buying blind $165.27.

In 56.9% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire Factory New 45.0% $249.66
AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge Factory New 5.0% $173.93
AWP | Hyper Beast Factory New 5.0% $151.59

Open in the builder

StatTrak™

×10

10× P250 | Visions

The Recoil Collection · FN · Factory New

StatTrak™

Buying blind +$4.17

Input cost: $121.60
On the worst float: $68.29
On the best float: $126.80
Result spread: $88.75
Price per item: $12.16

Profit range Worst outcome $68.29, best $126.80; buying blind $125.77.

In 50.9% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

USP-S | Printstream Factory New 50.0% $239.90
AWP | Chromatic Aberration Factory New 50.0% $41.88

Open in the builder

×9

×1

9× P250 | Visions + 1× Zeus x27 | Olympus

The Recoil Collection · FN · Factory New

StatTrak™

Buying blind +$3.83

Input cost: $125.70
On the worst float: $63.83
On the best float: $131.87
Result spread: $87.78
Price per item: $12.57

Profit range Worst outcome $63.83, best $131.87; buying blind $129.53.

In 50.9% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

AK-47 | Inheritance Factory New 5.0% $255.50
USP-S | Printstream Factory New 45.0% $239.90
AWP | Chrome Cannon Factory New 5.0% $139.02

Open in the builder

×8

×2

8× P250 | Visions + 2× Zeus x27 | Olympus

The Recoil Collection · FN · Factory New

StatTrak™

Buying blind +$3.38

Input cost: $129.80
On the worst float: $65.81
On the best float: $136.95
Result spread: $86.70
Price per item: $12.98

Profit range Worst outcome $65.81, best $136.95; buying blind $133.18.

In 50.9% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

AK-47 | Inheritance Factory New 10.0% $255.50
USP-S | Printstream Factory New 40.0% $239.90
AWP | Chrome Cannon Factory New 10.0% $139.02

Open in the builder

×7

×3

7× P250 | Visions + 3× Zeus x27 | Olympus

The Recoil Collection · FN · Factory New

StatTrak™

Buying blind +$2.84

Input cost: $133.90
On the worst float: $67.78
On the best float: $142.02
Result spread: $85.52
Price per item: $13.39

Profit range Worst outcome $67.78, best $142.02; buying blind $136.74.

In 50.9% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

AK-47 | Inheritance Factory New 15.0% $255.50
USP-S | Printstream Factory New 35.0% $239.90
AWP | Chrome Cannon Factory New 15.0% $139.02

Open in the builder

×9

×1

9× P250 | Visions + 1× XM1014 | Entombed

The Recoil Collection · FN · Factory New

StatTrak™

Buying blind +$2.41

Input cost: $118.78
On the worst float: $61.38
On the best float: $123.73
Result spread: $85.05
Price per item: $11.88

Profit range Worst outcome $61.38, best $123.73; buying blind $121.19.

In 52.2% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

USP-S | Printstream Factory New 45.0% $239.90
Desert Eagle | Printstream Factory New 5.0% $153.55
AK-47 | Legion of Anubis Factory New 5.0% $60.00

Open in the builder

×6

×4

6× P250 | Visions + 4× Zeus x27 | Olympus

The Recoil Collection · FN · Factory New

StatTrak™

Buying blind +$2.19

Input cost: $138.00
On the worst float: $69.76
On the best float: $147.09
Result spread: $84.25
Price per item: $13.80

Profit range Worst outcome $69.76, best $147.09; buying blind $140.19.

In 50.9% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

AK-47 | Inheritance Factory New 20.0% $255.50
USP-S | Printstream Factory New 30.0% $239.90
AWP | Chrome Cannon Factory New 20.0% $139.02

Open in the builder

×9

×1

9× P250 | Visions + 1× AUG | Stymphalian

The Recoil Collection · FN · Factory New

StatTrak™

Buying blind +$1.78

Input cost: $119.50
On the worst float: $60.60
On the best float: $122.85
Result spread: $86.05
Price per item: $11.95

Profit range Worst outcome $60.60, best $122.85; buying blind $121.28.

In 51.5% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

USP-S | Printstream Factory New 45.0% $239.90
M4A4 | Neo-Noir Factory New 5.0% $145.00
MP7 | Bloodsport Factory New 5.0% $49.00

Open in the builder

×5

5× Zeus x27 | Olympus + 5× P250 | Visions

The Kilowatt Collection · FN · Factory New

StatTrak™

Buying blind +$1.44

Input cost: $142.10
On the worst float: $71.73
On the best float: $152.17
Result spread: $82.90
Price per item: $14.21

Profit range Worst outcome $71.73, best $152.17; buying blind $143.54.

In 50.9% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

AK-47 | Inheritance Factory New 25.0% $255.50
USP-S | Printstream Factory New 25.0% $239.90
AWP | Chrome Cannon Factory New 25.0% $139.02

Open in the builder

×6

×4

6× Zeus x27 | Olympus + 4× P250 | Visions

The Kilowatt Collection · FN · Factory New

StatTrak™

Buying blind +$0.60

Input cost: $146.20
On the worst float: $73.71
On the best float: $157.24
Result spread: $81.47
Price per item: $14.62

Profit range Worst outcome $73.71, best $157.24; buying blind $146.80.

In 50.9% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

AK-47 | Inheritance Factory New 30.0% $255.50
USP-S | Printstream Factory New 20.0% $239.90
AWP | Chrome Cannon Factory New 30.0% $139.02

Open in the builder

×9

×1

9× P250 | Visions + 1× UMP-45 | Wild Child

The Recoil Collection · FN · Factory New

StatTrak™

Buying blind +$0.54

Input cost: $124.86
On the worst float: $66.63
On the best float: $126.34
Result spread: $85.72
Price per item: $12.49

Profit range Worst outcome $66.63, best $126.34; buying blind $125.40.

In 50.3% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

USP-S | Printstream Factory New 45.0% $239.90
M4A4 | Temukau Factory New 5.0% $179.11
AK-47 | Head Shot Factory New 5.0% $92.42

Open in the builder

×9

×1

9× P250 | Visions + 1× UMP-45 | Primal Saber

The Recoil Collection · FN · Factory New

StatTrak™

Buying blind +$0.22

Input cost: $130.94
On the worst float: $73.58
On the best float: $133.92
Result spread: $89.10
Price per item: $13.09

Profit range Worst outcome $73.58, best $133.92; buying blind $131.16.

In 51.9% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire Factory New 5.0% $309.99
USP-S | Printstream Factory New 45.0% $239.90
PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis Factory New 5.0% $129.94

Open in the builder

×8

×2

8× P250 | Visions + 2× XM1014 | Entombed

The Recoil Collection · FN · Factory New

StatTrak™ Negative right now

Buying blind −$0.24

Input cost: $115.97
On the worst float: $60.91
On the best float: $120.66
Result spread: $80.55
Price per item: $11.60

Profit range Worst outcome $60.91, best $120.66; buying blind $115.73.

In 54.3% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

USP-S | Printstream Factory New 40.0% $239.90
Desert Eagle | Printstream Factory New 10.0% $153.55
AK-47 | Legion of Anubis Factory New 10.0% $60.00

Open in the builder

×7

×3

7× Zeus x27 | Olympus + 3× P250 | Visions

The Kilowatt Collection · FN · Factory New

StatTrak™ Negative right now

Buying blind −$0.33

Input cost: $150.30
On the worst float: $75.69
On the best float: $162.31
Result spread: $79.97
Price per item: $15.03

Profit range Worst outcome $75.69, best $162.31; buying blind $149.97.

In 50.8% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

AK-47 | Inheritance Factory New 35.0% $255.50
USP-S | Printstream Factory New 15.0% $239.90
AWP | Chrome Cannon Factory New 35.0% $139.02

Open in the builder

×8

×2

8× P250 | Visions + 2× AUG | Stymphalian

The Recoil Collection · FN · Factory New

StatTrak™ Negative right now

Buying blind −$0.75

Input cost: $117.40
On the worst float: $59.35
On the best float: $118.90
Result spread: $83.06
Price per item: $11.74

Profit range Worst outcome $59.35, best $118.90; buying blind $116.65.

In 52.3% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

USP-S | Printstream Factory New 40.0% $239.90
M4A4 | Neo-Noir Factory New 10.0% $145.00
MP7 | Bloodsport Factory New 10.0% $49.00

Open in the builder

×8

×2

8× Zeus x27 | Olympus + 2× P250 | Visions

The Kilowatt Collection · FN · Factory New

StatTrak™ Negative right now

Buying blind −$1.36

Input cost: $154.40
On the worst float: $77.66
On the best float: $167.39
Result spread: $78.41
Price per item: $15.44

Profit range Worst outcome $77.66, best $167.39; buying blind $153.04.

In 50.7% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

AK-47 | Inheritance Factory New 40.0% $255.50
USP-S | Printstream Factory New 10.0% $239.90
AWP | Chrome Cannon Factory New 40.0% $139.02

Open in the builder

×9

×1

9× P250 | Visions + 1× MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

The Recoil Collection · FN · Factory New

StatTrak™ Negative right now

Buying blind −$1.69

Input cost: $124.57
On the worst float: $67.31
On the best float: $123.95
Result spread: $85.30
Price per item: $12.46

Profit range Worst outcome $67.31, best $123.95; buying blind $122.88.

In 55.3% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

USP-S | Printstream Factory New 45.0% $239.90
AK-47 | Nightwish Factory New 5.0% $130.00
MP9 | Starlight Protector Factory New 5.0% $88.38

Open in the builder

×9

×1

9× P250 | Visions + 1× UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

The Recoil Collection · FN · Factory New

StatTrak™ Negative right now

Buying blind −$1.92

Input cost: $131.44
On the worst float: $69.12
On the best float: $132.35
Result spread: $91.39
Price per item: $13.14

Profit range Worst outcome $69.12, best $132.35; buying blind $129.52.

In 51.5% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

AWP | Printstream Factory New 5.0% $323.70
USP-S | Printstream Factory New 45.0% $239.90
FAMAS | Bad Trip Factory New 5.0% $81.49

Open in the builder

×9

×1

9× P250 | Visions + 1× P90 | Nostalgia

The Recoil Collection · FN · Factory New

StatTrak™ Negative right now

Buying blind −$2.38

Input cost: $128.88
On the worst float: $65.22
On the best float: $128.21
Result spread: $87.60
Price per item: $12.89

Profit range Worst outcome $65.22, best $128.21; buying blind $126.50.

In 51.5% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

AWP | Wildfire Factory New 5.0% $243.48
USP-S | Printstream Factory New 45.0% $239.90
FAMAS | Commemoration Factory New 5.0% $69.50

Open in the builder

×9

×1

9× Zeus x27 | Olympus + 1× P250 | Visions

The Kilowatt Collection · FN · Factory New

StatTrak™ Negative right now

Buying blind −$2.47

Input cost: $158.50
On the worst float: $79.64
On the best float: $172.46
Result spread: $76.80
Price per item: $15.85

Profit range Worst outcome $79.64, best $172.46; buying blind $156.03.

In 50.6% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

AK-47 | Inheritance Factory New 45.0% $255.50
USP-S | Printstream Factory New 5.0% $239.90
AWP | Chrome Cannon Factory New 45.0% $139.02

Open in the builder

×9

×1

9× Zeus x27 | Olympus + 1× UMP-45 | Wild Child

The Kilowatt Collection · FN · Factory New

StatTrak™ Negative right now

Buying blind −$3.03

Input cost: $161.76
On the worst float: $78.62
On the best float: $172.00
Result spread: $70.54
Price per item: $16.18

Profit range Worst outcome $78.62, best $172.00; buying blind $158.73.

In 55.2% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

AK-47 | Inheritance Factory New 45.0% $255.50
M4A4 | Temukau Factory New 5.0% $179.11
AWP | Chrome Cannon Factory New 45.0% $139.02

Open in the builder

Collections in this transition

Collection	Inputs	Outcomes	Cheapest input
The Revolution Collection	3	2	$25.30
The Kilowatt Collection	3	2	$26.80
The Snakebite Collection	3	2	$28.60
The Clutch Collection	3	2	$28.90
The Recoil Collection	3	2	$28.90
The Falchion Collection	3	2	$30.80
The Fracture Collection	3	2	$31.60
The Genesis Collection	3	2	$33.00
The Dead Hand Collection	3	2	$33.50
The CS20 Collection	3	2	$34.00
The Gallery Collection	3	2	$34.90
The Fever Collection	3	2	$37.90
The Danger Zone Collection	3	2	$38.00
The Horizon Collection	3	2	$45.00
The Prisma Collection	3	2	$50.70
The Shattered Web Collection	3	2	$52.30
The Prisma 2 Collection	3	2	$52.50
The Shadow Collection	3	2	$55.30
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection	3	2	$59.50
The Overpass 2024 Collection	2	1	$75.00
The Train 2025 Collection	2	1	$75.40
The Revolver Case Collection	3	2	$79.30
The Vanguard Collection	3	2	$85.70
The Phoenix Collection	3	2	$90.00
The Spectrum 2 Collection	3	2	$93.60
The eSports 2014 Summer Collection	4	2	$95.10
The Spectrum Collection	3	2	$101.00
The Wildfire Collection	3	2	$103.30
The Gamma Collection	3	2	$104.50
The Gamma 2 Collection	3	2	$105.70
The Chroma Collection	3	2	$107.50
The Winter Offensive Collection	3	2	$107.73
The Chroma 3 Collection	3	2	$114.80
The Chroma 2 Collection	3	2	$115.90
The Arabesque Collection	2	2	$127.40
The Operation Riptide Collection	3	2	$139.80
The Arms Deal 3 Collection	2	1	$141.50
The Spy Tech Collection	2	2	$145.00
The Operation Broken Fang Collection	3	2	$158.13
The Breakout Collection	3	2	$179.50
The eSports 2013 Winter Collection	3	1	$193.70
The Sport & Field Collection	2	1	$203.20
The Huntsman Collection	4	2	$210.60
The Graphic Design Collection	2	1	$216.62
The 2021 Train Collection	3	2	$256.41
The Glove Collection	3	2	$265.60
The Anubis Collection	2	1	$303.20
The eSports 2013 Collection	2	1	$423.80
The Operation Hydra Collection	3	2	$432.25
The Arms Deal 2 Collection	2	1	$449.90
The Bravo Collection	3	2	$850.20
The Ancient Collection	2	1	$1159.90
The 2021 Mirage Collection	2	1	$1300.00
The 2021 Vertigo Collection	2	1	$1396.61
The Havoc Collection	2	1	$1575.60
The Control Collection	2	1	$1590.54
The Arms Deal Collection	2	1	$1653.70
The 2021 Dust 2 Collection	2	1	$1727.70
The Canals Collection	1	1	$4349.10
The Rising Sun Collection	1	1	$7749.10
The Gods and Monsters Collection	1	1	$10807.70
The St. Marc Collection	1	1	$21785.19
The Norse Collection	1	1	$22300.00
The Cobblestone Collection	1	1	$23500.00

How we calculate this

The input price is the best buy price across five markets for that exact wear; for regular contracts we take whichever of the normal and Souvenir version is cheaper and actually has enough listings. The outcome price is the same best price for the projected output wear, minus the selling fee. An outcome only counts if at least two independent markets confirm its price. Outcomes without a live price are counted as zero, so the estimate is conservative and their share is shown on its own line. Phase knives trade under one phaseless market hash whose price is the cheapest phase, so gold-tier expected values are understated.

A trade-up contract is an in-game CS2 mechanic by Valve. This site does not trade, does not accept items and is not affiliated with Valve Corporation. Prices come from external markets, refresh hourly and may differ from the live ones; buying ten lots at the shown price is not always possible. On top of the selling fee there are deposit and withdrawal fees, and an item bought on a third-party market arrives by trade and cannot be resold on Steam for seven days. Expected value is an average over many repetitions, not a promise about one attempt: for most contracts the chance of getting back less than you spent is above 50%. Informational material, not financial advice.