CS2 Covert → Extraordinary trade-ups

We scan every collection, wear and mix against live market prices. Each contract gets a range rather than a single number: what it returns on the worst input float, on the best one, and how likely it is to land in profit.

Sets evaluated 14966

With positive expectancy 0

Best expected profit −$31.44

Updated 43 minutes ago

Selling fee

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Regular contracts

×5

5× Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

The Dead Hand Collection · WW · Well-Worn

Negative right now

Buying blind −$31.44

Input cost: $228.60
On the worst float: $178.69
On the best float: $202.27
Result spread: $161.43
Price per item: $45.72

Profit range Worst outcome $178.69, best $202.27; buying blind $197.16.

In 78.3% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

★ Sport Gloves | Ultra Violent Field-Tested 4.5% $900.49
★ Sport Gloves | Occult Field-Tested 4.5% $489.57
★ Specialist Gloves | Cloud Chaser Field-Tested 4.5% $443.41

Open in the builder

×4

×1

4× Glock-18 | Fully Tuned + 1× Glock-18 | Neo-Noir

The Dead Hand Collection · WW · Well-Worn

Negative right now

Buying blind −$32.21

Input cost: $211.75
On the worst float: $163.01
On the best float: $184.11
Result spread: $155.67
Price per item: $42.35

Profit range Worst outcome $163.01, best $184.11; buying blind $179.54.

In 77.3% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

★ Sport Gloves | Ultra Violent Field-Tested 3.6% $900.49
★ Sport Gloves | Nocts Field-Tested 0.8% $576.10
★ Sport Gloves | Occult Field-Tested 3.6% $489.57

Open in the builder

×4

×1

4× Glock-18 | Fully Tuned + 1× USP-S | The Traitor

The Dead Hand Collection · WW · Well-Worn

Negative right now

Buying blind −$32.73

Input cost: $212.27
On the worst float: $163.01
On the best float: $184.11
Result spread: $155.67
Price per item: $42.45

Profit range Worst outcome $163.01, best $184.11; buying blind $179.54.

In 77.3% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

★ Sport Gloves | Ultra Violent Field-Tested 3.6% $900.49
★ Sport Gloves | Nocts Field-Tested 0.8% $576.10
★ Sport Gloves | Occult Field-Tested 3.6% $489.57

Open in the builder

×3

×2

3× Glock-18 | Fully Tuned + 2× Glock-18 | Neo-Noir

The Dead Hand Collection · WW · Well-Worn

Negative right now

Buying blind −$32.98

Input cost: $194.90
On the worst float: $147.33
On the best float: $165.96
Result spread: $147.60
Price per item: $38.98

Profit range Worst outcome $147.33, best $165.96; buying blind $161.92.

In 76.5% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

★ Sport Gloves | Ultra Violent Field-Tested 2.7% $900.49
★ Sport Gloves | Nocts Field-Tested 1.7% $576.10
★ Sport Gloves | Occult Field-Tested 2.7% $489.57

Open in the builder

×4

×1

4× AWP | Queen's Gambit + 1× Glock-18 | Neo-Noir

The Dead Hand Collection · WW · Well-Worn

Negative right now

Buying blind −$33.33

Input cost: $212.87
On the worst float: $163.01
On the best float: $184.11
Result spread: $155.67
Price per item: $42.57

Profit range Worst outcome $163.01, best $184.11; buying blind $179.54.

In 77.3% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

★ Sport Gloves | Ultra Violent Field-Tested 3.6% $900.49
★ Sport Gloves | Nocts Field-Tested 0.8% $576.10
★ Sport Gloves | Occult Field-Tested 3.6% $489.57

Open in the builder

×3

×2

3× Glock-18 | Neo-Noir + 2× Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

The Operation Broken Fang Collection · WW · Well-Worn

Negative right now

Buying blind −$33.75

Input cost: $178.05
On the worst float: $131.64
On the best float: $147.80
Result spread: $136.81
Price per item: $35.61

Profit range Worst outcome $131.64, best $147.80; buying blind $144.30.

In 79.8% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

★ Sport Gloves | Ultra Violent Field-Tested 1.8% $900.49
★ Sport Gloves | Nocts Field-Tested 2.5% $576.10
★ Sport Gloves | Occult Field-Tested 1.8% $489.57

Open in the builder

×3

×2

3× AWP | Queen's Gambit + 2× Glock-18 | Neo-Noir

The Dead Hand Collection · WW · Well-Worn

Negative right now

Buying blind −$33.82

Input cost: $195.74
On the worst float: $147.33
On the best float: $165.96
Result spread: $147.60
Price per item: $39.15

Profit range Worst outcome $147.33, best $165.96; buying blind $161.92.

In 76.5% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

★ Sport Gloves | Ultra Violent Field-Tested 2.7% $900.49
★ Sport Gloves | Nocts Field-Tested 1.7% $576.10
★ Sport Gloves | Occult Field-Tested 2.7% $489.57

Open in the builder

×4

×1

4× AWP | Queen's Gambit + 1× USP-S | The Traitor

The Dead Hand Collection · WW · Well-Worn

Negative right now

Buying blind −$33.85

Input cost: $213.39
On the worst float: $163.01
On the best float: $184.11
Result spread: $155.67
Price per item: $42.68

Profit range Worst outcome $163.01, best $184.11; buying blind $179.54.

In 77.3% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

★ Sport Gloves | Ultra Violent Field-Tested 3.6% $900.49
★ Sport Gloves | Nocts Field-Tested 0.8% $576.10
★ Sport Gloves | Occult Field-Tested 3.6% $489.57

Open in the builder

×3

×2

3× Glock-18 | Fully Tuned + 2× USP-S | The Traitor

The Dead Hand Collection · WW · Well-Worn

Negative right now

Buying blind −$34.02

Input cost: $195.94
On the worst float: $147.33
On the best float: $165.96
Result spread: $147.60
Price per item: $39.19

Profit range Worst outcome $147.33, best $165.96; buying blind $161.92.

In 76.5% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

★ Sport Gloves | Ultra Violent Field-Tested 2.7% $900.49
★ Sport Gloves | Nocts Field-Tested 1.7% $576.10
★ Sport Gloves | Occult Field-Tested 2.7% $489.57

Open in the builder

×4

×1

4× Glock-18 | Fully Tuned + 1× AK-47 | Head Shot

The Dead Hand Collection · WW · Well-Worn

Negative right now

Buying blind −$34.18

Input cost: $210.39
On the worst float: $159.98
On the best float: $180.69
Result spread: $154.36
Price per item: $42.08

Profit range Worst outcome $159.98, best $180.69; buying blind $176.21.

In 78.1% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

★ Sport Gloves | Ultra Violent Field-Tested 3.6% $900.49
★ Sport Gloves | Occult Field-Tested 3.6% $489.57
★ Specialist Gloves | Cloud Chaser Field-Tested 3.6% $443.41

Open in the builder

×5

5× AWP | Queen's Gambit

The Dead Hand Collection · FT · Field-Tested

Negative right now

Buying blind −$34.53

Input cost: $236.80
On the worst float: $202.27
On the best float: $202.27
Result spread: $166.07
Price per item: $47.36

Profit range Worst outcome $202.27, best $202.27; buying blind $202.27.

In 81.8% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

★ Sport Gloves | Ultra Violent Field-Tested 4.5% $900.49
★ Sport Gloves | Occult Field-Tested 4.5% $489.57
★ Specialist Gloves | Cloud Chaser Field-Tested 4.5% $443.41

Open in the builder

×3

×2

3× AWP | Queen's Gambit + 2× USP-S | The Traitor

The Dead Hand Collection · WW · Well-Worn

Negative right now

Buying blind −$34.86

Input cost: $196.78
On the worst float: $147.33
On the best float: $165.96
Result spread: $147.60
Price per item: $39.36

Profit range Worst outcome $147.33, best $165.96; buying blind $161.92.

In 76.5% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

★ Sport Gloves | Ultra Violent Field-Tested 2.7% $900.49
★ Sport Gloves | Nocts Field-Tested 1.7% $576.10
★ Sport Gloves | Occult Field-Tested 2.7% $489.57

Open in the builder

×4

×1

4× AWP | Queen's Gambit + 1× FAMAS | Commemoration

The Dead Hand Collection · FT · Field-Tested

Negative right now

Buying blind −$35.27

Input cost: $217.55
On the worst float: $164.02
On the best float: $182.86
Result spread: $155.11
Price per item: $43.51

Profit range Worst outcome $164.02, best $182.86; buying blind $182.28.

In 76.7% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

★ Sport Gloves | Ultra Violent Field-Tested 3.6% $900.49
★ Sport Gloves | Occult Field-Tested 3.6% $489.57
★ Specialist Gloves | Cloud Chaser Field-Tested 3.6% $443.41

Open in the builder

×4

×1

4× AWP | Queen's Gambit + 1× AK-47 | Head Shot

The Dead Hand Collection · WW · Well-Worn

Negative right now

Buying blind −$35.30

Input cost: $211.51
On the worst float: $159.98
On the best float: $180.69
Result spread: $154.36
Price per item: $42.30

Profit range Worst outcome $159.98, best $180.69; buying blind $176.21.

In 78.1% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

★ Sport Gloves | Ultra Violent Field-Tested 3.6% $900.49
★ Sport Gloves | Occult Field-Tested 3.6% $489.57
★ Specialist Gloves | Cloud Chaser Field-Tested 3.6% $443.41

Open in the builder

×3

×2

3× USP-S | The Traitor + 2× Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

The Snakebite Collection · WW · Well-Worn

Negative right now

Buying blind −$35.31

Input cost: $179.61
On the worst float: $131.64
On the best float: $147.80
Result spread: $136.81
Price per item: $35.92

Profit range Worst outcome $131.64, best $147.80; buying blind $144.30.

In 79.8% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

★ Sport Gloves | Ultra Violent Field-Tested 1.8% $900.49
★ Sport Gloves | Nocts Field-Tested 2.5% $576.10
★ Sport Gloves | Occult Field-Tested 1.8% $489.57

Open in the builder

×4

×1

4× AWP | Queen's Gambit + 1× AWP | Chromatic Aberration

The Dead Hand Collection · FT · Field-Tested

Negative right now

Buying blind −$35.64

Input cost: $219.75
On the worst float: $184.11
On the best float: $184.11
Result spread: $160.11
Price per item: $43.95

Profit range Worst outcome $184.11, best $184.11; buying blind $184.11.

In 75.7% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

★ Sport Gloves | Ultra Violent Field-Tested 3.6% $900.49
★ Sport Gloves | Nocts Field-Tested 0.8% $576.10
★ Sport Gloves | Occult Field-Tested 3.6% $489.57

Open in the builder

×4

×1

4× Glock-18 | Fully Tuned + 1× AWP | Chrome Cannon

The Dead Hand Collection · WW · Well-Worn

Negative right now

Buying blind −$35.77

Input cost: $205.88
On the worst float: $155.38
On the best float: $174.18
Result spread: $154.83
Price per item: $41.18

Profit range Worst outcome $155.38, best $174.18; buying blind $170.11.

In 79.0% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

★ Sport Gloves | Ultra Violent Field-Tested 3.6% $900.49
★ Sport Gloves | Occult Field-Tested 3.6% $489.57
★ Specialist Gloves | Cloud Chaser Field-Tested 3.6% $443.41

Open in the builder

×4

×1

4× Glock-18 | Fully Tuned + 1× Desert Eagle | Code Red

The Dead Hand Collection · WW · Well-Worn

Negative right now

Buying blind −$35.94

Input cost: $222.11
On the worst float: $170.33
On the best float: $190.55
Result spread: $156.46
Price per item: $44.42

Profit range Worst outcome $170.33, best $190.55; buying blind $186.17.

In 76.3% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

★ Sport Gloves | Ultra Violent Field-Tested 3.6% $900.49
★ Talon Knife | Fade Factory New 0.4% $772.99
★ Talon Knife | Slaughter Minimal Wear 0.4% $509.23

Open in the builder

×4

×1

4× Glock-18 | Fully Tuned + 1× AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge

The Dead Hand Collection · WW · Well-Worn

Negative right now

Buying blind −$36.39

Input cost: $210.88
On the worst float: $158.62
On the best float: $178.89
Result spread: $152.57
Price per item: $42.18

Profit range Worst outcome $158.62, best $178.89; buying blind $174.49.

In 79.8% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

★ Sport Gloves | Ultra Violent Field-Tested 3.6% $900.49
★ Sport Gloves | Occult Field-Tested 3.6% $489.57
★ Specialist Gloves | Cloud Chaser Field-Tested 3.6% $443.41

Open in the builder

×4

×1

4× AWP | Queen's Gambit + 1× M4A4 | In Living Color

The Dead Hand Collection · FT · Field-Tested

Negative right now

Buying blind −$36.60

Input cost: $220.71
On the worst float: $184.11
On the best float: $184.11
Result spread: $160.11
Price per item: $44.14

Profit range Worst outcome $184.11, best $184.11; buying blind $184.11.

In 75.7% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

★ Sport Gloves | Ultra Violent Field-Tested 3.6% $900.49
★ Sport Gloves | Nocts Field-Tested 0.8% $576.10
★ Sport Gloves | Occult Field-Tested 3.6% $489.57

Open in the builder

StatTrak™

×3

×2

3× FAMAS | Bad Trip + 2× M4A4 | Desert-Strike

The Fever Collection · FT · Field-Tested

StatTrak™ Negative right now

Buying blind −$48.69

Input cost: $186.68
On the worst float: $121.60
On the best float: $144.26
Result spread: $97.83
Price per item: $37.34

Profit range Worst outcome $121.60, best $144.26; buying blind $137.98.

In 76.3% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler Factory New 2.1% $604.64
★ Skeleton Knife | Marble Fade Factory New 2.1% $384.00
★ Nomad Knife | Doppler Factory New 2.1% $366.02

Open in the builder

×3

×2

3× Glock-18 | Bullet Queen + 2× M4A4 | Desert-Strike

The Prisma 2 Collection · FT · Field-Tested

StatTrak™ Negative right now

Buying blind −$49.78

Input cost: $218.60
On the worst float: $149.98
On the best float: $173.55
Result spread: $142.12
Price per item: $43.72

Profit range Worst outcome $149.98, best $173.55; buying blind $168.82.

In 70.9% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

★ Talon Knife | Doppler Factory New 2.1% $860.25
★ Talon Knife | Marble Fade Factory New 2.1% $584.98
★ Talon Knife | Tiger Tooth Factory New 2.1% $476.56

Open in the builder

×4

×1

4× FAMAS | Bad Trip + 1× M4A4 | Desert-Strike

The Fever Collection · FT · Field-Tested

StatTrak™ Negative right now

Buying blind −$51.02

Input cost: $196.31
On the worst float: $139.65
On the best float: $148.51
Result spread: $104.29
Price per item: $39.26

Profit range Worst outcome $139.65, best $148.51; buying blind $145.30.

In 78.3% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler Factory New 2.9% $604.64
★ Skeleton Knife | Marble Fade Factory New 2.9% $384.00
★ Nomad Knife | Doppler Factory New 2.9% $366.02

Open in the builder

×3

×2

3× M4A4 | Desert-Strike + 2× FAMAS | Bad Trip

The Huntsman Collection · FT · Field-Tested

StatTrak™ Negative right now

Buying blind −$51.03

Input cost: $177.04
On the worst float: $107.84
On the best float: $140.01
Result spread: $92.65
Price per item: $35.41

Profit range Worst outcome $107.84, best $140.01; buying blind $126.01.

In 78.2% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler Factory New 1.4% $604.64
★ Skeleton Knife | Marble Fade Factory New 1.4% $384.00
★ Nomad Knife | Doppler Factory New 1.4% $366.02

Open in the builder

×3

×2

3× M4A4 | Desert-Strike + 2× Glock-18 | Bullet Queen

The Huntsman Collection · FT · Field-Tested

StatTrak™ Negative right now

Buying blind −$51.80

Input cost: $198.32
On the worst float: $126.76
On the best float: $159.54
Result spread: $127.97
Price per item: $39.66

Profit range Worst outcome $126.76, best $159.54; buying blind $146.52.

In 72.6% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

★ Talon Knife | Doppler Factory New 1.4% $860.25
★ Talon Knife | Marble Fade Factory New 1.4% $584.98
★ Talon Knife | Tiger Tooth Factory New 1.4% $476.56

Open in the builder

×4

×1

4× Glock-18 | Bullet Queen + 1× M4A4 | Desert-Strike

The Prisma 2 Collection · FT · Field-Tested

StatTrak™ Negative right now

Buying blind −$52.68

Input cost: $238.87
On the worst float: $180.83
On the best float: $187.57
Result spread: $155.23
Price per item: $47.77

Profit range Worst outcome $180.83, best $187.57; buying blind $186.19.

In 74.3% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

★ Talon Knife | Doppler Factory New 2.9% $860.25
★ Talon Knife | Marble Fade Factory New 2.9% $584.98
★ Talon Knife | Tiger Tooth Factory New 2.9% $476.56

Open in the builder

×5

5× FAMAS | Bad Trip

The Fever Collection · WW · Well-Worn

StatTrak™ Negative right now

Buying blind −$53.45

Input cost: $203.44
On the worst float: $149.12
On the best float: $150.23
Result spread: $111.50
Price per item: $40.69

Profit range Worst outcome $149.12, best $150.23; buying blind $149.99.

In 78.6% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler Factory New 3.6% $604.64
★ Skeleton Knife | Marble Fade Factory New 3.6% $384.00
★ Nomad Knife | Doppler Factory New 3.6% $366.02

Open in the builder

×3

×2

3× FAMAS | Bad Trip + 2× AK-47 | Legion of Anubis

The Fever Collection · FT · Field-Tested

StatTrak™ Negative right now

Buying blind −$53.52

Input cost: $189.66
On the worst float: $125.39
On the best float: $139.32
Result spread: $102.68
Price per item: $37.93

Profit range Worst outcome $125.39, best $139.32; buying blind $136.14.

In 80.9% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler Factory New 2.1% $604.64
★ Skeleton Knife | Fade Factory New 0.8% $508.76
★ Skeleton Knife | Slaughter Minimal Wear 0.8% $384.55

Open in the builder

×5

5× Glock-18 | Bullet Queen

The Prisma 2 Collection · BS · Battle-Scarred

StatTrak™ Negative right now

Buying blind −$53.75

Input cost: $244.13
On the worst float: $184.14
On the best float: $209.67
Result spread: $179.70
Price per item: $48.83

Profit range Worst outcome $184.14, best $209.67; buying blind $190.38.

In 70.6% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

★ Talon Knife | Doppler Factory New 3.6% $860.25
★ Talon Knife | Marble Fade Factory New 3.6% $584.98
★ Talon Knife | Tiger Tooth Factory New 3.6% $476.56

Open in the builder

×4

×1

4× Glock-18 | Bullet Queen + 1× AWP | Chrome Cannon

The Prisma 2 Collection · BS · Battle-Scarred

StatTrak™ Negative right now

Buying blind −$53.76

Input cost: $220.30
On the worst float: $161.47
On the best float: $182.40
Result spread: $168.59
Price per item: $44.06

Profit range Worst outcome $161.47, best $182.40; buying blind $166.54.

In 70.3% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

★ Talon Knife | Doppler Factory New 2.9% $860.25
★ Talon Knife | Marble Fade Factory New 2.9% $584.98
★ Talon Knife | Tiger Tooth Factory New 2.9% $476.56

Open in the builder

×3

×2

3× Glock-18 | Bullet Queen + 2× AWP | Chrome Cannon

The Prisma 2 Collection · BS · Battle-Scarred

StatTrak™ Negative right now

Buying blind −$53.78

Input cost: $196.47
On the worst float: $138.80
On the best float: $155.14
Result spread: $153.02
Price per item: $39.30

Profit range Worst outcome $138.80, best $155.14; buying blind $142.70.

In 77.7% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

★ Talon Knife | Doppler Factory New 2.1% $860.25
★ Talon Knife | Marble Fade Factory New 2.1% $584.98
★ Talon Knife | Tiger Tooth Factory New 2.1% $476.56

Open in the builder

×4

×1

4× FAMAS | Bad Trip + 1× AK-47 | Legion of Anubis

The Fever Collection · FT · Field-Tested

StatTrak™ Negative right now

Buying blind −$54.04

Input cost: $197.80
On the worst float: $141.66
On the best float: $146.04
Result spread: $106.79
Price per item: $39.56

Profit range Worst outcome $141.66, best $146.04; buying blind $143.76.

In 79.8% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler Factory New 2.9% $604.64
★ Skeleton Knife | Fade Factory New 0.4% $508.76
★ Skeleton Knife | Slaughter Minimal Wear 0.4% $384.55

Open in the builder

×5

5× FAMAS | Bad Trip

The Fever Collection · FT · Field-Tested

StatTrak™ Negative right now

Buying blind −$54.60

Input cost: $205.95
On the worst float: $150.23
On the best float: $152.76
Result spread: $110.68
Price per item: $41.19

Profit range Worst outcome $150.23, best $152.76; buying blind $151.35.

In 78.6% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler Factory New 3.6% $604.64
★ Skeleton Knife | Marble Fade Factory New 3.6% $384.00
★ Nomad Knife | Doppler Factory New 3.6% $366.02

Open in the builder

×3

×2

3× Glock-18 | Bullet Queen + 2× AK-47 | Legion of Anubis

The Prisma 2 Collection · FT · Field-Tested

StatTrak™ Negative right now

Buying blind −$54.60

Input cost: $221.58
On the worst float: $153.77
On the best float: $168.62
Result spread: $145.90
Price per item: $44.32

Profit range Worst outcome $153.77, best $168.62; buying blind $166.97.

In 72.6% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

★ Talon Knife | Doppler Factory New 2.1% $860.25
★ Talon Knife | Marble Fade Factory New 2.1% $584.98
★ Skeleton Knife | Fade Factory New 0.8% $508.76

Open in the builder

×4

×1

4× Glock-18 | Bullet Queen + 1× AK-47 | Legion of Anubis

The Prisma 2 Collection · BS · Battle-Scarred

StatTrak™ Negative right now

Buying blind −$54.86

Input cost: $228.22
On the worst float: $168.42
On the best float: $189.65
Result spread: $171.42
Price per item: $45.64

Profit range Worst outcome $168.42, best $189.65; buying blind $173.36.

In 72.3% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

★ Talon Knife | Doppler Factory New 2.9% $860.25
★ Talon Knife | Marble Fade Factory New 2.9% $584.98
★ Skeleton Knife | Fade Factory New 0.4% $508.76

Open in the builder

×4

×1

4× FAMAS | Bad Trip + 1× Glock-18 | Bullet Queen

The Fever Collection · FT · Field-Tested

StatTrak™ Negative right now

Buying blind −$55.18

Input cost: $216.59
On the worst float: $160.52
On the best float: $162.52
Result spread: $125.66
Price per item: $43.32

Profit range Worst outcome $160.52, best $162.52; buying blind $161.41.

In 80.7% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

★ Talon Knife | Doppler Factory New 0.7% $860.25
★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler Factory New 2.9% $604.64
★ Talon Knife | Marble Fade Factory New 0.7% $584.98

Open in the builder

×3

×2

3× Glock-18 | Bullet Queen + 2× AK-47 | Legion of Anubis

The Prisma 2 Collection · BS · Battle-Scarred

StatTrak™ Negative right now

Buying blind −$55.44

Input cost: $212.31
On the worst float: $152.69
On the best float: $169.64
Result spread: $160.50
Price per item: $42.46

Profit range Worst outcome $152.69, best $169.64; buying blind $156.88.

In 73.6% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

★ Talon Knife | Doppler Factory New 2.1% $860.25
★ Talon Knife | Marble Fade Factory New 2.1% $584.98
★ Skeleton Knife | Fade Factory New 0.8% $508.76

Open in the builder

×3

×2

3× AK-47 | Legion of Anubis + 2× Glock-18 | Bullet Queen

The Fracture Collection · FT · Field-Tested

StatTrak™ Negative right now

Buying blind −$55.53

Input cost: $202.79
On the worst float: $132.45
On the best float: $152.13
Result spread: $132.81
Price per item: $40.56

Profit range Worst outcome $132.45, best $152.13; buying blind $147.26.

In 75.7% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

★ Talon Knife | Doppler Factory New 1.4% $860.25
★ Talon Knife | Marble Fade Factory New 1.4% $584.98
★ Skeleton Knife | Fade Factory New 1.2% $508.76

Open in the builder

×4

×1

4× Glock-18 | Bullet Queen + 1× FAMAS | Bad Trip

The Prisma 2 Collection · BS · Battle-Scarred

StatTrak™ Negative right now

Buying blind −$55.55

Input cost: $236.76
On the worst float: $175.50
On the best float: $198.54
Result spread: $172.44
Price per item: $47.35

Profit range Worst outcome $175.50, best $198.54; buying blind $181.21.

In 73.4% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

★ Talon Knife | Doppler Factory New 2.9% $860.25
★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler Factory New 0.7% $604.64
★ Talon Knife | Marble Fade Factory New 2.9% $584.98

Open in the builder

×4

×1

4× Glock-18 | Bullet Queen + 1× AK-47 | Legion of Anubis

The Prisma 2 Collection · FT · Field-Tested

StatTrak™ Negative right now

Buying blind −$55.70

Input cost: $240.36
On the worst float: $182.84
On the best float: $185.10
Result spread: $157.32
Price per item: $48.07

Profit range Worst outcome $182.84, best $185.10; buying blind $184.66.

In 72.7% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

★ Talon Knife | Doppler Factory New 2.9% $860.25
★ Talon Knife | Marble Fade Factory New 2.9% $584.98
★ Skeleton Knife | Fade Factory New 0.4% $508.76

Open in the builder

Collections in this transition

Collection	Inputs	Outcomes	Cheapest input
The Kilowatt Collection	2	13	$113.20
The Revolution Collection	2	24	$113.85
The Clutch Collection	2	24	$118.95
The Recoil Collection	2	24	$123.72
The Gallery Collection	2	13	$130.95
The Wildfire Collection	2	13	$133.80
The Falchion Collection	2	13	$136.77
The Huntsman Collection	2	13	$137.60
The CS20 Collection	2	13	$140.55
The Operation Broken Fang Collection	2	24	$141.35
The Snakebite Collection	2	24	$141.65
The Fracture Collection	2	52	$147.90
The Dead Hand Collection	2	22	$175.15
The Shattered Web Collection	2	52	$175.46
The Danger Zone Collection	2	52	$183.65
The Horizon Collection	2	52	$192.84
The Fever Collection	2	28	$194.67
The Shadow Collection	2	13	$229.00
The Prisma 2 Collection	2	28	$250.00
The Prisma Collection	2	28	$257.50
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection	2	30	$296.70
The Operation Riptide Collection	2	30	$317.10
The eSports 2014 Summer Collection	2	65	$348.20
The Vanguard Collection	2	65	$356.60
The Revolver Case Collection	2	65	$358.37
The Phoenix Collection	2	65	$363.05
The eSports 2013 Collection	1	65	$366.10
The eSports 2013 Winter Collection	1	65	$372.80
The Winter Offensive Collection	2	65	$378.85
The Arms Deal 3 Collection	1	65	$381.80
The Arms Deal 2 Collection	1	65	$433.50
The Spectrum 2 Collection	2	30	$490.25
The Spectrum Collection	2	30	$500.05
The Gamma 2 Collection	2	30	$553.30
The Gamma Collection	2	30	$563.30
The Chroma 2 Collection	2	30	$565.85
The Chroma Collection	2	30	$569.60
The Chroma 3 Collection	2	30	$570.57
The Breakout Collection	2	13	$800.85
The Bravo Collection	2	65	$950.00
The Glove Collection	2	24	$1190.60
The Operation Hydra Collection	2	24	$1235.01
The Arms Deal Collection	1	65	$2282.45

How we calculate this

The input price is the best buy price across five markets for that exact wear; for regular contracts we take whichever of the normal and Souvenir version is cheaper and actually has enough listings. The outcome price is the same best price for the projected output wear, minus the selling fee. An outcome only counts if at least two independent markets confirm its price. Outcomes without a live price are counted as zero, so the estimate is conservative and their share is shown on its own line. Phase knives trade under one phaseless market hash whose price is the cheapest phase, so gold-tier expected values are understated.

A trade-up contract is an in-game CS2 mechanic by Valve. This site does not trade, does not accept items and is not affiliated with Valve Corporation. Prices come from external markets, refresh hourly and may differ from the live ones; buying ten lots at the shown price is not always possible. On top of the selling fee there are deposit and withdrawal fees, and an item bought on a third-party market arrives by trade and cannot be resold on Steam for seven days. Expected value is an average over many repetitions, not a promise about one attempt: for most contracts the chance of getting back less than you spent is above 50%. Informational material, not financial advice.