CS2 Restricted → Classified trade-ups

We scan every collection, wear and mix against live market prices. Each contract gets a range rather than a single number: what it returns on the worst input float, on the best one, and how likely it is to land in profit.

Sets evaluated 39435

With positive expectancy 8

Best expected profit $0.50

Updated 53 minutes ago

Selling fee

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Budget

Regular contracts

×10

10× P90 | Randy Rush

The Gallery Collection · FN · Factory New

Negative right now

Buying blind −$0.25

Input cost: $34.40
On the worst float: $8.85
On the best float: $34.95
Result spread: $20.42
Price per item: $3.44

Profit range Worst outcome $8.85, best $34.95; buying blind $34.15.

In 67.1% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

AK-47 | The Outsiders Factory New 33.3% $70.07
UMP-45 | Neo-Noir Factory New 33.3% $24.17
P250 | Epicenter Factory New 33.3% $22.27

Open in the builder

×9

×1

9× P90 | Randy Rush + 1× P90 | Chopper

The Gallery Collection · FN · Factory New

Negative right now

Buying blind −$0.25

Input cost: $33.97
On the worst float: $9.86
On the best float: $35.24
Result spread: $21.01
Price per item: $3.40

Profit range Worst outcome $9.86, best $35.24; buying blind $33.72.

In 68.1% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

M4A4 | Desolate Space Factory New 3.3% $80.99
AK-47 | The Outsiders Factory New 30.0% $70.07
P2000 | Imperial Dragon Factory New 3.3% $30.00

Open in the builder

×9

×1

9× P90 | Randy Rush + 1× CZ75-Auto | Pole Position

The Gallery Collection · FN · Factory New

Negative right now

Buying blind −$0.34

Input cost: $35.01
On the worst float: $9.08
On the best float: $36.66
Result spread: $21.39
Price per item: $3.50

Profit range Worst outcome $9.08, best $36.66; buying blind $34.67.

In 65.2% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

Galil AR | Eco Minimal Wear 3.3% $93.96
AK-47 | The Outsiders Factory New 30.0% $70.07
FAMAS | Djinn Factory New 3.3% $47.55

Open in the builder

×8

×2

8× P90 | Randy Rush + 2× P90 | Chopper

The Gallery Collection · FN · Factory New

Negative right now

Buying blind −$0.56

Input cost: $33.54
On the worst float: $10.86
On the best float: $35.53
Result spread: $21.42
Price per item: $3.35

Profit range Worst outcome $10.86, best $35.53; buying blind $32.98.

In 69.6% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

M4A4 | Desolate Space Factory New 6.7% $80.99
AK-47 | The Outsiders Factory New 26.7% $70.07
P2000 | Imperial Dragon Factory New 6.7% $30.00

Open in the builder

×8

×2

8× P90 | Randy Rush + 2× CZ75-Auto | Pole Position

The Gallery Collection · FN · Factory New

Negative right now

Buying blind −$0.59

Input cost: $35.62
On the worst float: $9.31
On the best float: $38.37
Result spread: $22.26
Price per item: $3.56

Profit range Worst outcome $9.31, best $38.37; buying blind $35.03.

In 63.6% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

Galil AR | Eco Minimal Wear 6.7% $93.96
AK-47 | The Outsiders Factory New 26.7% $70.07
FAMAS | Djinn Factory New 6.7% $47.55

Open in the builder

×9

×1

9× P90 | Randy Rush + 1× P90 | Neoqueen

The Gallery Collection · FN · Factory New

Negative right now

Buying blind −$0.59

Input cost: $32.02
On the worst float: $8.42
On the best float: $32.71
Result spread: $20.71
Price per item: $3.20

Profit range Worst outcome $8.42, best $32.71; buying blind $31.43.

In 70.8% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

AK-47 | The Outsiders Factory New 30.0% $70.07
UMP-45 | Neo-Noir Factory New 30.0% $24.17
P250 | Epicenter Factory New 30.0% $22.27

Open in the builder

×9

×1

9× P90 | Randy Rush + 1× UMP-45 | Exposure

The Gallery Collection · FN · Factory New

Negative right now

Buying blind −$0.66

Input cost: $33.27
On the worst float: $10.13
On the best float: $34.47
Result spread: $20.35
Price per item: $3.33

Profit range Worst outcome $10.13, best $34.47; buying blind $32.61.

In 67.7% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

AK-47 | The Outsiders Factory New 30.0% $70.07
M4A1-S | Leaded Glass Factory New 3.3% $50.36
UMP-45 | Neo-Noir Factory New 30.0% $24.17

Open in the builder

×6

×4

6× PP-Bizon | Osiris + 4× Sawed-Off | Analog Input

The Breakout Collection · FN · Factory New

Negative right now

Buying blind −$0.74

Input cost: $21.54
On the worst float: $12.99
On the best float: $31.28
Result spread: $15.93
Price per item: $2.15

Profit range Worst outcome $12.99, best $31.28; buying blind $20.80.

In 80.6% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

Glock-18 | Water Elemental Factory New 20.0% $56.20
Desert Eagle | Conspiracy Factory New 20.0% $22.74
Five-SeveN | Fowl Play Minimal Wear 20.0% $19.89

Open in the builder

×9

×1

9× P90 | Randy Rush + 1× AUG | Torque

The Gallery Collection · FN · Factory New

Negative right now

Buying blind −$0.74

Input cost: $38.80
On the worst float: $13.84
On the best float: $39.95
Result spread: $28.10
Price per item: $3.88

Profit range Worst outcome $13.84, best $39.95; buying blind $38.06.

In 64.0% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

M4A1-S | Atomic Alloy Factory New 2.5% $155.93
USP-S | Orion Factory New 2.5% $109.15
USP-S | Caiman Factory New 2.5% $81.95

Open in the builder

×9

×1

9× P90 | Randy Rush + 1× Negev | Lionfish

The Gallery Collection · FN · Factory New

Negative right now

Buying blind −$0.77

Input cost: $32.29
On the worst float: $8.84
On the best float: $33.11
Result spread: $20.64
Price per item: $3.23

Profit range Worst outcome $8.84, best $33.11; buying blind $31.52.

In 71.0% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

AK-47 | The Outsiders Factory New 30.0% $70.07
USP-S | Cortex Factory New 3.3% $32.00
UMP-45 | Neo-Noir Factory New 30.0% $24.17

Open in the builder

×7

×3

7× PP-Bizon | Osiris + 3× Sawed-Off | Analog Input

The Breakout Collection · FN · Factory New

Negative right now

Buying blind −$0.85

Input cost: $23.38
On the worst float: $14.36
On the best float: $34.58
Result spread: $15.87
Price per item: $2.34

Profit range Worst outcome $14.36, best $34.58; buying blind $22.53.

In 78.5% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

Glock-18 | Water Elemental Factory New 23.3% $56.20
Desert Eagle | Conspiracy Factory New 23.3% $22.74
Five-SeveN | Fowl Play Minimal Wear 23.3% $19.89

Open in the builder

×7

×3

7× P90 | Randy Rush + 3× CZ75-Auto | Pole Position

The Gallery Collection · FN · Factory New

Negative right now

Buying blind −$1.00

Input cost: $36.23
On the worst float: $9.54
On the best float: $40.08
Result spread: $23.05
Price per item: $3.62

Profit range Worst outcome $9.54, best $40.08; buying blind $35.23.

In 62.3% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

Galil AR | Eco Minimal Wear 10.0% $93.96
AK-47 | The Outsiders Factory New 23.3% $70.07
FAMAS | Djinn Factory New 10.0% $47.55

Open in the builder

×8

×2

8× P90 | Randy Rush + 2× P90 | Neoqueen

The Gallery Collection · FN · Factory New

Negative right now

Buying blind −$1.05

Input cost: $29.64
On the worst float: $7.98
On the best float: $30.46
Result spread: $20.68
Price per item: $2.96

Profit range Worst outcome $7.98, best $30.46; buying blind $28.59.

In 74.5% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

AK-47 | The Outsiders Factory New 26.7% $70.07
UMP-45 | Neo-Noir Factory New 26.7% $24.17
P250 | Epicenter Factory New 26.7% $22.27

Open in the builder

×8

×2

8× PP-Bizon | Osiris + 2× Sawed-Off | Analog Input

The Breakout Collection · FN · Factory New

Negative right now

Buying blind −$1.09

Input cost: $25.22
On the worst float: $15.73
On the best float: $37.89
Result spread: $15.51
Price per item: $2.52

Profit range Worst outcome $15.73, best $37.89; buying blind $24.13.

In 76.8% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

Glock-18 | Water Elemental Factory New 26.7% $56.20
Desert Eagle | Conspiracy Factory New 26.7% $22.74
Five-SeveN | Fowl Play Minimal Wear 26.7% $19.89

Open in the builder

×9

×1

9× P90 | Randy Rush + 1× XM1014 | Zombie Offensive

The Gallery Collection · FN · Factory New

Negative right now

Buying blind −$1.13

Input cost: $32.03
On the worst float: $8.62
On the best float: $32.88
Result spread: $20.77
Price per item: $3.20

Profit range Worst outcome $8.62, best $32.88; buying blind $30.90.

In 71.4% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

AK-47 | The Outsiders Factory New 30.0% $70.07
UMP-45 | Neo-Noir Factory New 30.0% $24.17
P250 | Epicenter Factory New 30.0% $22.27

Open in the builder

×9

×1

9× P90 | Randy Rush + 1× MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum

The Gallery Collection · FN · Factory New

Negative right now

Buying blind −$1.17

Input cost: $37.97
On the worst float: $11.48
On the best float: $38.68
Result spread: $23.41
Price per item: $3.80

Profit range Worst outcome $11.48, best $38.68; buying blind $36.80.

In 62.0% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

Glock-18 | Snack Attack Factory New 3.3% $119.90
AK-47 | The Outsiders Factory New 30.0% $70.07
MAC-10 | Toybox Factory New 3.3% $62.14

Open in the builder

×7

×3

7× P90 | Randy Rush + 3× P90 | Chopper

The Gallery Collection · FN · Factory New

Negative right now

Buying blind −$1.18

Input cost: $33.11
On the worst float: $11.87
On the best float: $35.81
Result spread: $21.57
Price per item: $3.31

Profit range Worst outcome $11.87, best $35.81; buying blind $31.93.

In 71.8% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

M4A4 | Desolate Space Factory New 10.0% $80.99
AK-47 | The Outsiders Factory New 23.3% $70.07
P2000 | Imperial Dragon Factory New 10.0% $30.00

Open in the builder

×9

×1

9× P90 | Randy Rush + 1× Sawed-Off | Serenity

The Gallery Collection · FN · Factory New

Negative right now

Buying blind −$1.22

Input cost: $35.03
On the worst float: $9.91
On the best float: $35.59
Result spread: $20.45
Price per item: $3.50

Profit range Worst outcome $9.91, best $35.59; buying blind $33.81.

In 64.7% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

AK-47 | The Outsiders Factory New 30.0% $70.07
M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King) Factory New 3.3% $59.50
AK-47 | Cartel Factory New 3.3% $54.47

Open in the builder

×9

×1

9× P90 | Randy Rush + 1× AWP | PAW

The Gallery Collection · FN · Factory New

Negative right now

Buying blind −$1.22

Input cost: $37.96
On the worst float: $9.94
On the best float: $40.20
Result spread: $34.18
Price per item: $3.80

Profit range Worst outcome $9.94, best $40.20; buying blind $36.74.

In 68.9% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

M4A1-S | Nightmare Factory New 3.3% $234.68
AK-47 | The Outsiders Factory New 30.0% $70.07
FAMAS | Eye of Athena Factory New 3.3% $38.32

Open in the builder

×8

×2

8× P90 | Randy Rush + 2× UMP-45 | Exposure

The Gallery Collection · FN · Factory New

Negative right now

Buying blind −$1.38

Input cost: $32.14
On the worst float: $9.01
On the best float: $33.99
Result spread: $20.21
Price per item: $3.21

Profit range Worst outcome $9.01, best $33.99; buying blind $30.76.

In 68.6% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

AK-47 | The Outsiders Factory New 26.7% $70.07
M4A1-S | Leaded Glass Factory New 6.7% $50.36
UMP-45 | Neo-Noir Factory New 26.7% $24.17

Open in the builder

StatTrak™

×7

×3

7× M249 | Downtown + 3× MAC-10 | Last Dive

The Recoil Collection · FN · Factory New

StatTrak™

Buying blind +$0.50

Input cost: $22.06
On the worst float: $15.31
On the best float: $26.01
Result spread: $15.75
Price per item: $2.21

Profit range Worst outcome $15.31, best $26.01; buying blind $22.56.

In 48.0% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

M4A1-S | Decimator Factory New 10.0% $76.49
AK-47 | Ice Coaled Factory New 23.3% $32.52
CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu Factory New 10.0% $28.33

Open in the builder

×6

×4

6× M249 | Downtown + 4× MAC-10 | Last Dive

The Recoil Collection · FN · Factory New

StatTrak™

Buying blind +$0.47

Input cost: $23.58
On the worst float: $17.30
On the best float: $27.96
Result spread: $16.46
Price per item: $2.36

Profit range Worst outcome $17.30, best $27.96; buying blind $24.05.

In 41.8% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

M4A1-S | Decimator Factory New 13.3% $76.49
AK-47 | Ice Coaled Factory New 20.0% $32.52
CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu Factory New 13.3% $28.33

Open in the builder

×8

×2

8× M249 | Downtown + 2× MAC-10 | Last Dive

The Recoil Collection · FN · Factory New

StatTrak™

Buying blind +$0.43

Input cost: $20.54
On the worst float: $13.31
On the best float: $24.06
Result spread: $14.45
Price per item: $2.05

Profit range Worst outcome $13.31, best $24.06; buying blind $20.97.

In 54.2% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

M4A1-S | Decimator Factory New 6.7% $76.49
AK-47 | Ice Coaled Factory New 26.7% $32.52
CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu Factory New 6.7% $28.33

Open in the builder

×5

5× MAC-10 | Last Dive + 5× M249 | Downtown

The Spectrum Collection · FN · Factory New

StatTrak™

Buying blind +$0.34

Input cost: $25.10
On the worst float: $19.30
On the best float: $29.90
Result spread: $16.68
Price per item: $2.51

Profit range Worst outcome $19.30, best $29.90; buying blind $25.44.

In 52.2% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

M4A1-S | Decimator Factory New 16.7% $76.49
AK-47 | Ice Coaled Factory New 16.7% $32.52
CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu Factory New 16.7% $28.33

Open in the builder

×9

×1

9× M249 | Downtown + 1× MAC-10 | Last Dive

The Recoil Collection · FN · Factory New

StatTrak™

Buying blind +$0.28

Input cost: $19.02
On the worst float: $11.31
On the best float: $22.12
Result spread: $12.36
Price per item: $1.90

Profit range Worst outcome $11.31, best $22.12; buying blind $19.30.

In 50.6% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

M4A1-S | Decimator Factory New 3.3% $76.49
AK-47 | Ice Coaled Factory New 30.0% $32.52
CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu Factory New 3.3% $28.33

Open in the builder

×6

×4

6× MAC-10 | Last Dive + 4× M249 | Downtown

The Spectrum Collection · FN · Factory New

StatTrak™

Buying blind +$0.12

Input cost: $26.62
On the worst float: $21.30
On the best float: $31.85
Result spread: $16.49
Price per item: $2.66

Profit range Worst outcome $21.30, best $31.85; buying blind $26.74.

In 69.1% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

M4A1-S | Decimator Factory New 20.0% $76.49
AK-47 | Ice Coaled Factory New 13.3% $32.52
CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu Factory New 20.0% $28.33

Open in the builder

×10

10× M249 | Downtown

The Recoil Collection · FN · Factory New

StatTrak™

Buying blind +$0.10

Input cost: $17.50
On the worst float: $9.31
On the best float: $20.17
Result spread: $9.02
Price per item: $1.75

Profit range Worst outcome $9.31, best $20.17; buying blind $17.60.

In 53.2% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

AK-47 | Ice Coaled Factory New 33.3% $32.52
P250 | Visions Factory New 33.3% $12.01
Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love Minimal Wear 33.3% $8.37

Open in the builder

×5

5× P90 | Vent Rush + 5× MAC-10 | Last Dive

The Recoil Collection · FN · Factory New

StatTrak™

Buying blind +$0.04

Input cost: $26.25
On the worst float: $19.30
On the best float: $29.90
Result spread: $17.48
Price per item: $2.63

Profit range Worst outcome $19.30, best $29.90; buying blind $26.29.

In 67.9% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

M4A1-S | Decimator Factory New 16.7% $76.49
AK-47 | Ice Coaled Factory New 16.7% $32.52
CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu Factory New 16.7% $28.33

Open in the builder

×6

×4

6× P90 | Vent Rush + 4× MAC-10 | Last Dive

The Recoil Collection · FN · Factory New

StatTrak™ Negative right now

Buying blind −$0.00

Input cost: $24.96
On the worst float: $17.30
On the best float: $27.96
Result spread: $17.18
Price per item: $2.50

Profit range Worst outcome $17.30, best $27.96; buying blind $24.96.

In 54.1% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

M4A1-S | Decimator Factory New 13.3% $76.49
AK-47 | Ice Coaled Factory New 20.0% $32.52
CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu Factory New 13.3% $28.33

Open in the builder

×6

×4

6× Sawed-Off | Analog Input + 4× MAC-10 | Last Dive

The Kilowatt Collection · FN · Factory New

StatTrak™ Negative right now

Buying blind −$0.13

Input cost: $25.44
On the worst float: $18.72
On the best float: $31.10
Result spread: $14.26
Price per item: $2.54

Profit range Worst outcome $18.72, best $31.10; buying blind $25.31.

In 51.5% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

M4A1-S | Decimator Factory New 13.3% $76.49
M4A1-S | Black Lotus Factory New 20.0% $30.10
CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu Factory New 13.3% $28.33

Open in the builder

×5

5× MAC-10 | Last Dive + 5× Sawed-Off | Analog Input

The Spectrum Collection · FN · Factory New

StatTrak™ Negative right now

Buying blind −$0.16

Input cost: $26.65
On the worst float: $20.48
On the best float: $32.52
Result spread: $14.58
Price per item: $2.67

Profit range Worst outcome $20.48, best $32.52; buying blind $26.49.

In 65.7% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

M4A1-S | Decimator Minimal Wear 16.7% $41.97
M4A1-S | Black Lotus Factory New 16.7% $30.10
CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu Factory New 16.7% $28.33

Open in the builder

×7

×3

7× MAC-10 | Last Dive + 3× M249 | Downtown

The Spectrum Collection · FN · Factory New

StatTrak™ Negative right now

Buying blind −$0.17

Input cost: $28.14
On the worst float: $21.54
On the best float: $33.80
Result spread: $15.93
Price per item: $2.81

Profit range Worst outcome $21.54, best $33.80; buying blind $27.97.

In 69.1% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

M4A1-S | Decimator Factory New 23.3% $76.49
AK-47 | Ice Coaled Factory New 10.0% $32.52
CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu Factory New 23.3% $28.33

Open in the builder

×7

×3

7× Sawed-Off | Analog Input + 3× MAC-10 | Last Dive

The Kilowatt Collection · FN · Factory New

StatTrak™ Negative right now

Buying blind −$0.17

Input cost: $24.23
On the worst float: $16.96
On the best float: $29.68
Result spread: $13.56
Price per item: $2.42

Profit range Worst outcome $16.96, best $29.68; buying blind $24.06.

In 43.7% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

M4A1-S | Decimator Factory New 10.0% $76.49
M4A1-S | Black Lotus Factory New 23.3% $30.10
CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu Factory New 10.0% $28.33

Open in the builder

×7

×3

7× P90 | Vent Rush + 3× MAC-10 | Last Dive

The Recoil Collection · FN · Factory New

StatTrak™ Negative right now

Buying blind −$0.19

Input cost: $23.67
On the worst float: $15.31
On the best float: $26.01
Result spread: $16.28
Price per item: $2.37

Profit range Worst outcome $15.31, best $26.01; buying blind $23.48.

In 47.1% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

M4A1-S | Decimator Factory New 10.0% $76.49
AK-47 | Ice Coaled Factory New 23.3% $32.52
CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu Factory New 10.0% $28.33

Open in the builder

×6

×4

6× MAC-10 | Last Dive + 4× Sawed-Off | Analog Input

The Spectrum Collection · FN · Factory New

StatTrak™ Negative right now

Buying blind −$0.25

Input cost: $27.86
On the worst float: $20.74
On the best float: $33.95
Result spread: $14.59
Price per item: $2.79

Profit range Worst outcome $20.74, best $33.95; buying blind $27.61.

In 79.1% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

M4A1-S | Decimator Minimal Wear 20.0% $41.97
M4A1-S | Black Lotus Factory New 13.3% $30.10
CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu Factory New 20.0% $28.33

Open in the builder

×8

×2

8× Sawed-Off | Analog Input + 2× MAC-10 | Last Dive

The Kilowatt Collection · FN · Factory New

StatTrak™ Negative right now

Buying blind −$0.27

Input cost: $23.02
On the worst float: $15.20
On the best float: $28.26
Result spread: $12.38
Price per item: $2.30

Profit range Worst outcome $15.20, best $28.26; buying blind $22.75.

In 48.9% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

M4A1-S | Decimator Factory New 6.7% $76.49
M4A1-S | Black Lotus Factory New 26.7% $30.10
CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu Factory New 6.7% $28.33

Open in the builder

×7

×3

7× MAC-10 | Last Dive + 3× Sawed-Off | Analog Input

The Spectrum Collection · FN · Factory New

StatTrak™ Negative right now

Buying blind −$0.40

Input cost: $29.07
On the worst float: $21.19
On the best float: $35.37
Result spread: $14.32
Price per item: $2.91

Profit range Worst outcome $21.19, best $35.37; buying blind $28.67.

In 76.1% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

M4A1-S | Decimator Minimal Wear 23.3% $41.97
M4A1-S | Black Lotus Factory New 10.0% $30.10
CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu Factory New 23.3% $28.33

Open in the builder

×8

×2

8× MAC-10 | Last Dive + 2× M249 | Downtown

The Spectrum Collection · FN · Factory New

StatTrak™ Negative right now

Buying blind −$0.48

Input cost: $29.66
On the worst float: $22.07
On the best float: $35.74
Result spread: $15.02
Price per item: $2.97

Profit range Worst outcome $22.07, best $35.74; buying blind $29.18.

In 73.3% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

M4A1-S | Decimator Minimal Wear 26.7% $41.97
AK-47 | Ice Coaled Factory New 6.7% $32.52
CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu Factory New 26.7% $28.33

Open in the builder

×8

×2

8× MAC-10 | Last Dive + 2× Sawed-Off | Analog Input

The Spectrum Collection · FN · Factory New

StatTrak™ Negative right now

Buying blind −$0.59

Input cost: $30.28
On the worst float: $22.54
On the best float: $36.79
Result spread: $13.81
Price per item: $3.03

Profit range Worst outcome $22.54, best $36.79; buying blind $29.69.

In 73.1% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

M4A1-S | Decimator Minimal Wear 26.7% $41.97
M4A1-S | Black Lotus Factory New 6.7% $30.10
CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu Factory New 26.7% $28.33

Open in the builder

×9

×1

9× MAC-10 | Last Dive + 1× M249 | Downtown

The Spectrum Collection · FN · Factory New

StatTrak™ Negative right now

Buying blind −$0.77

Input cost: $31.18
On the worst float: $23.67
On the best float: $37.69
Result spread: $13.75
Price per item: $3.12

Profit range Worst outcome $23.67, best $37.69; buying blind $30.41.

In 70.0% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

M4A1-S | Decimator Minimal Wear 30.0% $41.97
AK-47 | Ice Coaled Factory New 3.3% $32.52
CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu Factory New 30.0% $28.33

Open in the builder

Collections in this transition

Collection	Inputs	Outcomes	Cheapest input
The Fracture Collection	5	3	$2.90
The Kilowatt Collection	5	3	$2.90
The Revolution Collection	5	3	$3.00
The Snakebite Collection	5	3	$3.10
The Recoil Collection	5	3	$3.10
The Clutch Collection	5	3	$3.40
The Genesis Collection	5	3	$3.70
The Fever Collection	5	3	$3.80
The Ascent Collection	2	1	$4.00
The Danger Zone Collection	5	3	$4.10
The CS20 Collection	5	3	$4.20
The Dust 2 Collection	1	1	$4.20
The Dead Hand Collection	5	3	$4.50
The Gallery Collection	5	3	$4.83
The Prisma Collection	5	3	$4.94
The Prisma 2 Collection	5	3	$5.00
The Boreal Collection	2	1	$5.30
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection	5	3	$5.60
The 2018 Inferno Collection	3	2	$6.20
The Falchion Collection	5	3	$6.30
The Horizon Collection	5	3	$6.41
The Harlequin Collection	2	1	$7.00
The Radiant Collection	3	1	$8.00
The Achroma Collection	2	1	$8.30
The Revolver Case Collection	6	3	$9.40
The Shadow Collection	4	3	$9.60
The Spectrum 2 Collection	5	3	$9.60
The Gamma 2 Collection	5	3	$10.90
The Chroma 3 Collection	5	3	$11.10
The Gamma Collection	5	3	$11.10
The Chroma 2 Collection	4	3	$11.20
The Spectrum Collection	5	3	$11.40
The Vanguard Collection	4	3	$11.50
The 2018 Nuke Collection	3	2	$11.60
The Train 2025 Collection	3	2	$11.60
The Overpass 2024 Collection	3	2	$13.40
The Shattered Web Collection	5	3	$13.44
The Wildfire Collection	5	3	$14.00
The Arabesque Collection	3	2	$15.00
The Phoenix Collection	4	3	$15.30
The Spy Tech Collection	3	2	$15.90
The Operation Riptide Collection	5	3	$16.80
The Chroma Collection	4	3	$17.01
The Bank Collection	1	1	$17.50
The Breakout Collection	4	3	$19.80
The Operation Broken Fang Collection	5	3	$20.40
The Sport & Field Collection	3	2	$20.70
The eSports 2014 Summer Collection	5	4	$22.20
The Glove Collection	5	3	$27.90
The Huntsman Collection	5	4	$39.70
The Winter Offensive Collection	4	3	$42.60
The Anubis Collection	3	2	$45.85
The 2021 Train Collection	5	3	$49.20
The Graphic Design Collection	3	2	$51.40
The Arms Deal 3 Collection	4	2	$55.44
The eSports 2013 Winter Collection	2	3	$76.70
The Arms Deal 2 Collection	4	2	$94.71
The Operation Hydra Collection	5	3	$124.40
The eSports 2013 Collection	3	2	$150.70
The Bravo Collection	4	3	$160.60
The 2021 Mirage Collection	3	2	$172.80
The Ancient Collection	3	2	$180.00
The Overpass Collection	2	1	$206.30
The 2021 Dust 2 Collection	3	2	$213.50
The 2021 Vertigo Collection	3	2	$242.10
The Militia Collection	1	1	$373.38
The Havoc Collection	3	2	$520.30
The Arms Deal Collection	3	2	$571.30
The Baggage Collection	2	1	$670.32
The Control Collection	3	2	$740.00
The Canals Collection	3	1	$890.23
The Chop Shop Collection	2	2	$1900.10
The St. Marc Collection	3	1	$2720.70
The Gods and Monsters Collection	2	1	$2736.80
The Norse Collection	3	1	$2926.50
The Cobblestone Collection	2	1	$3052.98
The Rising Sun Collection	4	1	$4405.00

How we calculate this

The input price is the best buy price across five markets for that exact wear; for regular contracts we take whichever of the normal and Souvenir version is cheaper and actually has enough listings. The outcome price is the same best price for the projected output wear, minus the selling fee. An outcome only counts if at least two independent markets confirm its price. Outcomes without a live price are counted as zero, so the estimate is conservative and their share is shown on its own line. Phase knives trade under one phaseless market hash whose price is the cheapest phase, so gold-tier expected values are understated.

A trade-up contract is an in-game CS2 mechanic by Valve. This site does not trade, does not accept items and is not affiliated with Valve Corporation. Prices come from external markets, refresh hourly and may differ from the live ones; buying ten lots at the shown price is not always possible. On top of the selling fee there are deposit and withdrawal fees, and an item bought on a third-party market arrives by trade and cannot be resold on Steam for seven days. Expected value is an average over many repetitions, not a promise about one attempt: for most contracts the chance of getting back less than you spent is above 50%. Informational material, not financial advice.