CS2 Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade Trade-Ups — Live Expected Value
en en
$ usd

CS2 Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade trade-ups

We scan every collection, wear and mix against live market prices. Each contract gets a range rather than a single number: what it returns on the worst input float, on the best one, and how likely it is to land in profit.

Sets evaluated 19535
With positive expectancy 6
Best expected profit $0.48
Updated 27 minutes ago
Selling fee
Sort by
Budget

Regular contracts

20
P250 | Bone Mask ×5 MP7 | Prey ×5

5× P250 | Bone Mask + 5× MP7 | Prey

The Mirage Collection · FT · Field-Tested

Souvenir
Buying blind +$0.48
Input cost
$6.85
On the worst float
$5.87
On the best float
$7.48
Result spread
$6.86
Price per item
$0.68

Profit range Worst outcome $5.87, best $7.48; buying blind $7.33.

In 50.0% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

  • SSG 08 | Tropical Storm SSG 08 | Tropical Storm Well-Worn 10.0% $22.17
  • Glock-18 | Groundwater Glock-18 | Groundwater Well-Worn 10.0% $15.34
  • MP7 | Orange Peel MP7 | Orange Peel Well-Worn 10.0% $15.21
Open in the builder
P90 | Desert DDPAT ×5 P250 | Bone Mask ×5

5× P90 | Desert DDPAT + 5× P250 | Bone Mask

The 2021 Dust 2 Collection · FT · Field-Tested

Souvenir
Buying blind +$0.43
Input cost
$6.85
On the worst float
$5.87
On the best float
$7.48
Result spread
$6.82
Price per item
$0.68

Profit range Worst outcome $5.87, best $7.48; buying blind $7.28.

In 50.0% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

  • SSG 08 | Tropical Storm SSG 08 | Tropical Storm Well-Worn 10.0% $22.17
  • Glock-18 | Groundwater Glock-18 | Groundwater Well-Worn 10.0% $15.34
  • MP7 | Orange Peel MP7 | Orange Peel Well-Worn 10.0% $15.21
Open in the builder
P90 | Desert DDPAT ×6 P250 | Bone Mask ×4

6× P90 | Desert DDPAT + 4× P250 | Bone Mask

The 2021 Dust 2 Collection · FT · Field-Tested

Souvenir
Buying blind +$0.39
Input cost
$5.62
On the worst float
$4.86
On the best float
$6.15
Result spread
$6.62
Price per item
$0.56

Profit range Worst outcome $4.86, best $6.15; buying blind $6.01.

In 60.0% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

  • SSG 08 | Tropical Storm SSG 08 | Tropical Storm Well-Worn 8.0% $22.17
  • Glock-18 | Groundwater Glock-18 | Groundwater Well-Worn 8.0% $15.34
  • MP7 | Orange Peel MP7 | Orange Peel Well-Worn 8.0% $15.21
Open in the builder
P250 | Bone Mask ×5 PP-Bizon | Facility Sketch ×5

5× P250 | Bone Mask + 5× PP-Bizon | Facility Sketch

The Mirage Collection · FT · Field-Tested

Souvenir
Buying blind +$0.29
Input cost
$6.58
On the worst float
$5.38
On the best float
$7.08
Result spread
$7.20
Price per item
$0.66

Profit range Worst outcome $5.38, best $7.08; buying blind $6.87.

In 50.0% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

  • SSG 08 | Tropical Storm SSG 08 | Tropical Storm Well-Worn 10.0% $22.17
  • Glock-18 | Groundwater Glock-18 | Groundwater Well-Worn 10.0% $15.34
  • MP7 | Orange Peel MP7 | Orange Peel Well-Worn 10.0% $15.21
Open in the builder
P250 | Bone Mask ×6 MP7 | Prey ×4

6× P250 | Bone Mask + 4× MP7 | Prey

The Mirage Collection · FT · Field-Tested

Souvenir
Buying blind +$0.20
Input cost
$8.08
On the worst float
$6.88
On the best float
$8.81
Result spread
$6.54
Price per item
$0.81

Profit range Worst outcome $6.88, best $8.81; buying blind $8.28.

In 40.0% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

  • SSG 08 | Tropical Storm SSG 08 | Tropical Storm Well-Worn 12.0% $22.17
  • Glock-18 | Groundwater Glock-18 | Groundwater Well-Worn 12.0% $15.34
  • MP7 | Orange Peel MP7 | Orange Peel Well-Worn 12.0% $15.21
Open in the builder
Galil AR | Hunting Blind ×9 R8 Revolver | Night ×1

9× Galil AR | Hunting Blind + 1× R8 Revolver | Night

The Mirage Collection · FT · Field-Tested

Souvenir
Buying blind +$0.01
Input cost
$12.69
On the worst float
$9.85
On the best float
$12.91
Result spread
$4.63
Price per item
$1.27

Profit range Worst outcome $9.85, best $12.91; buying blind $12.70.

In 32.2% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

  • SSG 08 | Tropical Storm SSG 08 | Tropical Storm Well-Worn 18.0% $22.17
  • Glock-18 | Groundwater Glock-18 | Groundwater Well-Worn 18.0% $15.34
  • MP7 | Orange Peel MP7 | Orange Peel Well-Worn 18.0% $15.21
Open in the builder
Galil AR | Hunting Blind ×9 MP9 | Bee-Tron ×1

9× Galil AR | Hunting Blind + 1× MP9 | Bee-Tron

The Mirage Collection · FT · Field-Tested

Souvenir Thin liquidity Negative right now
Buying blind −$0.01
Input cost
$12.52
On the worst float
$9.64
On the best float
$12.72
Result spread
$5.10
Price per item
$1.25

Profit range Worst outcome $9.64, best $12.72; buying blind $12.51.

In 30.7% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

  • SSG 08 | Tropical Storm SSG 08 | Tropical Storm Well-Worn 18.0% $22.17
  • Glock-18 | Groundwater Glock-18 | Groundwater Well-Worn 18.0% $15.34
  • MP7 | Orange Peel MP7 | Orange Peel Well-Worn 18.0% $15.21
Open in the builder
Galil AR | Hunting Blind ×7 Dual Berettas | Silver Pour ×3

7× Galil AR | Hunting Blind + 3× Dual Berettas | Silver Pour

The Mirage Collection · FT · Field-Tested

Souvenir Thin liquidity Negative right now
Buying blind −$0.01
Input cost
$9.74
On the worst float
$7.50
On the best float
$9.89
Result spread
$6.87
Price per item
$0.97

Profit range Worst outcome $7.50, best $9.89; buying blind $9.74.

In 30.0% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

  • SSG 08 | Tropical Storm SSG 08 | Tropical Storm Well-Worn 14.0% $22.17
  • Glock-18 | Groundwater Glock-18 | Groundwater Well-Worn 14.0% $15.34
  • MP7 | Orange Peel MP7 | Orange Peel Well-Worn 14.0% $15.21
Open in the builder
Galil AR | Hunting Blind ×9 R8 Revolver | Bone Mask ×1

9× Galil AR | Hunting Blind + 1× R8 Revolver | Bone Mask

The Mirage Collection · FT · Field-Tested

Souvenir Negative right now
Buying blind −$0.02
Input cost
$12.53
On the worst float
$9.65
On the best float
$12.72
Result spread
$5.08
Price per item
$1.25

Profit range Worst outcome $9.65, best $12.72; buying blind $12.51.

In 30.8% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

  • SSG 08 | Tropical Storm SSG 08 | Tropical Storm Well-Worn 18.0% $22.17
  • Glock-18 | Groundwater Glock-18 | Groundwater Well-Worn 18.0% $15.34
  • MP7 | Orange Peel MP7 | Orange Peel Well-Worn 18.0% $15.21
Open in the builder
Galil AR | Hunting Blind ×9 FAMAS | Colony ×1

9× Galil AR | Hunting Blind + 1× FAMAS | Colony

The Mirage Collection · FT · Field-Tested

Souvenir Negative right now
Buying blind −$0.02
Input cost
$12.53
On the worst float
$9.64
On the best float
$12.72
Result spread
$5.08
Price per item
$1.25

Profit range Worst outcome $9.64, best $12.72; buying blind $12.51.

In 30.8% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

  • SSG 08 | Tropical Storm SSG 08 | Tropical Storm Well-Worn 18.0% $22.17
  • Glock-18 | Groundwater Glock-18 | Groundwater Well-Worn 18.0% $15.34
  • MP7 | Orange Peel MP7 | Orange Peel Well-Worn 18.0% $15.21
Open in the builder
Galil AR | Hunting Blind ×9 G3SG1 | Polar Camo ×1

9× Galil AR | Hunting Blind + 1× G3SG1 | Polar Camo

The Mirage Collection · FT · Field-Tested

Souvenir Negative right now
Buying blind −$0.02
Input cost
$12.53
On the worst float
$9.65
On the best float
$12.72
Result spread
$5.08
Price per item
$1.25

Profit range Worst outcome $9.65, best $12.72; buying blind $12.51.

In 30.8% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

  • SSG 08 | Tropical Storm SSG 08 | Tropical Storm Well-Worn 18.0% $22.17
  • Glock-18 | Groundwater Glock-18 | Groundwater Well-Worn 18.0% $15.34
  • MP7 | Orange Peel MP7 | Orange Peel Well-Worn 18.0% $15.21
Open in the builder
Galil AR | Hunting Blind ×9 SCAR-20 | Sand Mesh ×1

9× Galil AR | Hunting Blind + 1× SCAR-20 | Sand Mesh

The Mirage Collection · FT · Field-Tested

Souvenir Negative right now
Buying blind −$0.03
Input cost
$12.53
On the worst float
$9.64
On the best float
$12.72
Result spread
$5.09
Price per item
$1.25

Profit range Worst outcome $9.64, best $12.72; buying blind $12.50.

In 30.8% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

  • SSG 08 | Tropical Storm SSG 08 | Tropical Storm Well-Worn 18.0% $22.17
  • Glock-18 | Groundwater Glock-18 | Groundwater Well-Worn 18.0% $15.34
  • MP7 | Orange Peel MP7 | Orange Peel Well-Worn 18.0% $15.21
Open in the builder
Galil AR | Hunting Blind ×9 SG 553 | Waves Perforated ×1

9× Galil AR | Hunting Blind + 1× SG 553 | Waves Perforated

The Mirage Collection · FT · Field-Tested

Souvenir Negative right now
Buying blind −$0.03
Input cost
$12.53
On the worst float
$9.64
On the best float
$12.72
Result spread
$5.09
Price per item
$1.25

Profit range Worst outcome $9.64, best $12.72; buying blind $12.51.

In 30.8% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

  • SSG 08 | Tropical Storm SSG 08 | Tropical Storm Well-Worn 18.0% $22.17
  • Glock-18 | Groundwater Glock-18 | Groundwater Well-Worn 18.0% $15.34
  • MP7 | Orange Peel MP7 | Orange Peel Well-Worn 18.0% $15.21
Open in the builder
Galil AR | Hunting Blind ×8 R8 Revolver | Night ×2

8× Galil AR | Hunting Blind + 2× R8 Revolver | Night

The Mirage Collection · FT · Field-Tested

Souvenir Negative right now
Buying blind −$0.03
Input cost
$11.48
On the worst float
$9.00
On the best float
$11.70
Result spread
$5.52
Price per item
$1.15

Profit range Worst outcome $9.00, best $11.70; buying blind $11.45.

In 40.1% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

  • SSG 08 | Tropical Storm SSG 08 | Tropical Storm Well-Worn 16.0% $22.17
  • Glock-18 | Groundwater Glock-18 | Groundwater Well-Worn 16.0% $15.34
  • MP7 | Orange Peel MP7 | Orange Peel Well-Worn 16.0% $15.21
Open in the builder
Galil AR | Hunting Blind ×8 MP9 | Bee-Tron ×2

8× Galil AR | Hunting Blind + 2× MP9 | Bee-Tron

The Mirage Collection · FT · Field-Tested

Souvenir Thin liquidity Negative right now
Buying blind −$0.04
Input cost
$11.13
On the worst float
$8.57
On the best float
$11.31
Result spread
$6.22
Price per item
$1.11

Profit range Worst outcome $8.57, best $11.31; buying blind $11.09.

In 39.4% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

  • SSG 08 | Tropical Storm SSG 08 | Tropical Storm Well-Worn 16.0% $22.17
  • Glock-18 | Groundwater Glock-18 | Groundwater Well-Worn 16.0% $15.34
  • MP7 | Orange Peel MP7 | Orange Peel Well-Worn 16.0% $15.21
Open in the builder
Galil AR | Hunting Blind ×9 UMP-45 | Scorched ×1

9× Galil AR | Hunting Blind + 1× UMP-45 | Scorched

The Mirage Collection · FT · Field-Tested

Souvenir Negative right now
Buying blind −$0.04
Input cost
$12.67
On the worst float
$9.75
On the best float
$12.84
Result spread
$4.79
Price per item
$1.27

Profit range Worst outcome $9.75, best $12.84; buying blind $12.63.

In 32.2% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

  • SSG 08 | Tropical Storm SSG 08 | Tropical Storm Well-Worn 18.0% $22.17
  • Glock-18 | Groundwater Glock-18 | Groundwater Well-Worn 18.0% $15.34
  • MP7 | Orange Peel MP7 | Orange Peel Well-Worn 18.0% $15.21
Open in the builder
Galil AR | Hunting Blind ×7 G3SG1 | Green Cell ×3

7× Galil AR | Hunting Blind + 3× G3SG1 | Green Cell

The Mirage Collection · FT · Field-Tested

Souvenir Negative right now
Buying blind −$0.04
Input cost
$9.74
On the worst float
$7.51
On the best float
$9.90
Result spread
$6.84
Price per item
$0.97

Profit range Worst outcome $7.51, best $9.90; buying blind $9.70.

In 30.0% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

  • SSG 08 | Tropical Storm SSG 08 | Tropical Storm Well-Worn 14.0% $22.17
  • Glock-18 | Groundwater Glock-18 | Groundwater Well-Worn 14.0% $15.34
  • MP7 | Orange Peel MP7 | Orange Peel Well-Worn 14.0% $15.21
Open in the builder
Galil AR | Hunting Blind ×8 Dual Berettas | Silver Pour ×2

8× Galil AR | Hunting Blind + 2× Dual Berettas | Silver Pour

The Mirage Collection · FT · Field-Tested

Souvenir Thin liquidity Negative right now
Buying blind −$0.05
Input cost
$11.13
On the worst float
$8.57
On the best float
$11.31
Result spread
$6.18
Price per item
$1.11

Profit range Worst outcome $8.57, best $11.31; buying blind $11.08.

In 36.7% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

  • SSG 08 | Tropical Storm SSG 08 | Tropical Storm Well-Worn 16.0% $22.17
  • Glock-18 | Groundwater Glock-18 | Groundwater Well-Worn 16.0% $15.34
  • MP7 | Orange Peel MP7 | Orange Peel Well-Worn 16.0% $15.21
Open in the builder
Galil AR | Hunting Blind ×7 G3SG1 | Red Jasper ×3

7× Galil AR | Hunting Blind + 3× G3SG1 | Red Jasper

The Mirage Collection · FT · Field-Tested

Souvenir Negative right now
Buying blind −$0.07
Input cost
$9.74
On the worst float
$7.50
On the best float
$9.89
Result spread
$6.82
Price per item
$0.97

Profit range Worst outcome $7.50, best $9.89; buying blind $9.68.

In 30.0% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

  • SSG 08 | Tropical Storm SSG 08 | Tropical Storm Well-Worn 14.0% $22.17
  • Glock-18 | Groundwater Glock-18 | Groundwater Well-Worn 14.0% $15.34
  • MP7 | Orange Peel MP7 | Orange Peel Well-Worn 14.0% $15.21
Open in the builder
Galil AR | Hunting Blind ×8 R8 Revolver | Bone Mask ×2

8× Galil AR | Hunting Blind + 2× R8 Revolver | Bone Mask

The Mirage Collection · FT · Field-Tested

Souvenir Negative right now
Buying blind −$0.08
Input cost
$11.15
On the worst float
$8.59
On the best float
$11.32
Result spread
$6.18
Price per item
$1.12

Profit range Worst outcome $8.59, best $11.32; buying blind $11.07.

In 40.1% of runs the result is worth less than the inputs.

Possible outcomes

  • SSG 08 | Tropical Storm SSG 08 | Tropical Storm Well-Worn 16.0% $22.17
  • Glock-18 | Groundwater Glock-18 | Groundwater Well-Worn 16.0% $15.34
  • MP7 | Orange Peel MP7 | Orange Peel Well-Worn 16.0% $15.21
Open in the builder

StatTrak™

0

No contract for this transition passes the liquidity thresholds right now. Check back in an hour — prices refresh.

Collections in this transition

38

How we calculate this

The input price is the best buy price across five markets for that exact wear; for regular contracts we take whichever of the normal and Souvenir version is cheaper and actually has enough listings. The outcome price is the same best price for the projected output wear, minus the selling fee. An outcome only counts if at least two independent markets confirm its price. Outcomes without a live price are counted as zero, so the estimate is conservative and their share is shown on its own line. Phase knives trade under one phaseless market hash whose price is the cheapest phase, so gold-tier expected values are understated.

A trade-up contract is an in-game CS2 mechanic by Valve. This site does not trade, does not accept items and is not affiliated with Valve Corporation. Prices come from external markets, refresh hourly and may differ from the live ones; buying ten lots at the shown price is not always possible. On top of the selling fee there are deposit and withdrawal fees, and an item bought on a third-party market arrives by trade and cannot be resold on Steam for seven days. Expected value is an average over many repetitions, not a promise about one attempt: for most contracts the chance of getting back less than you spent is above 50%. Informational material, not financial advice.