Return from opening Kilowatt Case
Top prize ★ Kukri Knife | Fade · $151.52 · 0.02% chance per opening
What happens to $100
Scenario: open the case 38 times with the whole $100 budget and sell every drop at market prices. Here is what you get:
Contents and odds
30 items| Item | Odds | Market price |
|---|---|---|
 ★ Kukri Knife | Fade | 0.02% | $151.52 |
 ★ Kukri Knife | Slaughter | 0.02% | $115.06 |
 ★ Kukri Knife | Case Hardened | 0.02% | $90.57 |
 ★ Kukri Knife | 0.02% | $82.99 |
 ★ Kukri Knife | Crimson Web | 0.02% | $81.07 |
 ★ Kukri Knife | Blue Steel | 0.02% | $70.68 |
 ★ Kukri Knife | Stained | 0.02% | $55.27 |
 AK-47 | Inheritance | 0.32% | $46.76 |
 ★ Kukri Knife | Night Stripe | 0.02% | $46.03 |
 ★ Kukri Knife | Urban Masked | 0.02% | $45.67 |
 ★ Kukri Knife | Scorched | 0.02% | $42.94 |
 ★ Kukri Knife | Forest DDPAT | 0.02% | $39.93 |
 ★ Kukri Knife | Boreal Forest | 0.02% | $38.71 |
 ★ Kukri Knife | Safari Mesh | 0.02% | $37.50 |
 AWP | Chrome Cannon | 0.32% | $27.57 |
 M4A1-S | Black Lotus | 1.1% | $5.63 |
 USP-S | Jawbreaker | 1.1% | $4.38 |
 Zeus x27 | Olympus | 1.1% | $3.87 |
 Glock-18 | Block-18 | 3.2% | $0.66 |
 M4A4 | Etch Lord | 3.2% | $0.57 |
 MP7 | Just Smile | 3.2% | $0.53 |
 Five-SeveN | Hybrid | 3.2% | $0.51 |
 Sawed-Off | Analog Input | 3.2% | $0.50 |
 MAC-10 | Light Box | 11% | $0.10 |
 Dual Berettas | Hideout | 11% | $0.09 |
 SSG 08 | Dezastre | 11% | $0.09 |
 Tec-9 | Slag | 11% | $0.09 |
 UMP-45 | Motorized | 11% | $0.09 |
 XM1014 | Irezumi | 11% | $0.09 |
 Nova | Dark Sigil | 11% | $0.08 |
The calculation uses current market prices and published odds. It is a statistical estimate; an individual opening can differ.
Ranked 42 of 42 CS2 cases by payout
Cases with a similar payout
Questions
Why is the Kilowatt Case payout below 100%?
The case and key cost $2.60, and almost everything that drops is a cheap skin: 79.92% for the lowest tier, 0.26% for a knife or gloves. Multiply the odds by market prices and you get 28% — that much of every 100 comes back on average.
Where do the prices come from?
The best market offers at the time of the calculation: Skinport, CSFloat, Market.CSGO, DMarket, Waxpeer and White.Market. That is what a drop actually sells for, not a display price.
What does “openings until zero” mean?
The model sells each drop and opens again while the balance covers the next case. For Kilowatt Case, the median balance falls below the opening price after about 45 openings attempts.
What if I get lucky?
Over 38 openings the chance to pull ★ Kukri Knife | Fade is 0.8%, and the chance to double the budget is 0.4%.