Operation Riptide Case: 46% RTP, 6.0% profit — CS2Collections.net
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Operation Riptide Case

Return from opening Operation Riptide Case

In-game case, Valve odds Opening price$10.25
F Grade
46% Payout
−$5.56 Average loss per opening

Top prize ★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler · $1 653.00 · 0.0052% chance per opening

What happens to $100

Scenario: open the case 9 times with the whole $100 budget and sell every drop at market prices. Here is what you get:

Openings it buys 9
Left after 9 openings $31.20 8 times out of 10: between $21.95 and $67.78
Chance to end ahead 6.0%
Chance to double 4.4%
Chance at the top prize 0.05%
Openings until zero 12

Contents and odds

67 items
ItemOddsMarket price
★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler0.0052%$1 653.00
★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler0.0052%$1 653.00
★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler0.0052%$1 653.00
★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler0.0052%$1 653.00
★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler0.0052%$1 653.00
★ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic0.0052%$830.88
★ Butterfly Knife | Lore0.0052%$664.33
★ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate0.0052%$578.58
★ Butterfly Knife | Freehand0.0052%$570.37
★ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water0.0052%$506.48
AK-47 | Leet Museo0.32%$230.40
★ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler0.0052%$200.65
★ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler0.0052%$200.65
★ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler0.0052%$200.65
★ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler0.0052%$200.65
★ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler0.0052%$200.65
★ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler0.0052%$194.78
★ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler0.0052%$194.78
★ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler0.0052%$194.78
★ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler0.0052%$194.78
★ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler0.0052%$194.78
★ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler0.0052%$171.80
★ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler0.0052%$171.80
★ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler0.0052%$171.80
★ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler0.0052%$171.80
★ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler0.0052%$171.80
★ Huntsman Knife | Autotronic0.0052%$99.78
★ Falchion Knife | Lore0.0052%$96.66
★ Falchion Knife | Autotronic0.0052%$94.83
★ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler0.0052%$94.50

The calculation uses current market prices and published odds. It is a statistical estimate; an individual opening can differ.

Open in the simulator Case page

Ranked 28 of 42 CS2 cases by payout

Cases with a similar payout

Falchion Case Falchion Case Payout 47% · Profit chance 5.9% E Huntsman Weapon Case Huntsman Weapon Case Payout 47% · Profit chance 6.3% F Operation Breakout Weapon Case Operation Breakout Weapon Case Payout 46% · Profit chance 8.3% F Dreams & Nightmares Case Dreams & Nightmares Case Payout 46% · Profit chance 5.8% F Danger Zone Case Danger Zone Case Payout 45% · Profit chance 8.5% F Snakebite Case Snakebite Case Payout 45% · Profit chance 6.5% F

Questions

Why is the Operation Riptide Case payout below 100%?

The case and key cost $10.25, and almost everything that drops is a cheap skin: 79.92% for the lowest tier, 0.26% for a knife or gloves. Multiply the odds by market prices and you get 46% — that much of every 100 comes back on average.

Where do the prices come from?

The best market offers at the time of the calculation: Skinport, CSFloat, Market.CSGO, DMarket, Waxpeer and White.Market. That is what a drop actually sells for, not a display price.

What does “openings until zero” mean?

The model sells each drop and opens again while the balance covers the next case. For Operation Riptide Case, the median balance falls below the opening price after about 12 openings attempts.

What if I get lucky?

Over 9 openings the chance to pull ★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler is 0.0%, and the chance to double the budget is 4.4%.