Prisma 2 Case: 58% RTP, 9.8% profit — CS2Collections.net
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$ usd
Prisma 2 Case

Return from opening Prisma 2 Case

In-game case, Valve odds Opening price$3.07
E Grade
58% Payout
−$1.30 Average loss per opening

Top prize ★ Talon Knife | Doppler · $772.84 · 0.005% chance per opening

What happens to $100

Scenario: open the case 32 times with the whole $100 budget and sell every drop at market prices. Here is what you get:

Openings it buys 32
Left after 32 openings $25.72 8 times out of 10: between $16.28 and $97.80
Chance to end ahead 9.8%
Chance to double 5.8%
Chance at the top prize 0.16%
Openings until zero 42

Contents and odds

69 items
ItemOddsMarket price
★ Talon Knife | Doppler0.005%$772.84
★ Talon Knife | Doppler0.005%$772.84
★ Talon Knife | Doppler0.005%$772.84
★ Talon Knife | Doppler0.005%$772.84
★ Talon Knife | Doppler0.005%$772.84
★ Talon Knife | Doppler0.005%$772.84
★ Talon Knife | Doppler0.005%$772.84
★ Talon Knife | Marble Fade0.005%$521.23
★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler0.005%$434.75
★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler0.005%$434.75
★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler0.005%$434.75
★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler0.005%$434.75
★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler0.005%$434.75
★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler0.005%$434.75
★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler0.005%$434.75
★ Talon Knife | Tiger Tooth0.005%$432.92
★ Talon Knife | Damascus Steel0.005%$299.08
★ Talon Knife0.005%$295.00
★ Stiletto Knife | Marble Fade0.005%$275.42
★ Talon Knife | Ultraviolet0.005%$264.24
★ Stiletto Knife | Tiger Tooth0.005%$254.02
★ Talon Knife | Rust Coat0.005%$227.21
★ Ursus Knife | Doppler0.005%$222.89
★ Ursus Knife | Doppler0.005%$222.89
★ Ursus Knife | Doppler0.005%$222.89
★ Ursus Knife | Doppler0.005%$222.89
★ Ursus Knife | Doppler0.005%$222.89
★ Ursus Knife | Doppler0.005%$222.89
★ Ursus Knife | Doppler0.005%$222.89
★ Stiletto Knife0.005%$183.00

The calculation uses current market prices and published odds. It is a statistical estimate; an individual opening can differ.

Open in the simulator Case page

Ranked 14 of 42 CS2 cases by payout

Cases with a similar payout

Operation Vanguard Weapon Case Operation Vanguard Weapon Case Payout 61% · Profit chance 12% D Horizon Case Horizon Case Payout 61% · Profit chance 12% D Gamma 2 Case Gamma 2 Case Payout 58% · Profit chance 15% E Operation Wildfire Case Operation Wildfire Case Payout 56% · Profit chance 11% D Operation Hydra Case Operation Hydra Case Payout 55% · Profit chance 7.8% E Chroma Case Chroma Case Payout 53% · Profit chance 11% E

Questions

Why is the Prisma 2 Case payout below 100%?

The case and key cost $3.07, and almost everything that drops is a cheap skin: 79.92% for the lowest tier, 0.26% for a knife or gloves. Multiply the odds by market prices and you get 58% — that much of every 100 comes back on average.

Where do the prices come from?

The best market offers at the time of the calculation: Skinport, CSFloat, Market.CSGO, DMarket, Waxpeer and White.Market. That is what a drop actually sells for, not a display price.

What does “openings until zero” mean?

The model sells each drop and opens again while the balance covers the next case. For Prisma 2 Case, the median balance falls below the opening price after about 42 openings attempts.

What if I get lucky?

Over 32 openings the chance to pull ★ Talon Knife | Doppler is 0.2%, and the chance to double the budget is 5.8%.