Gamma 2 Case: 59% RTP, 15% profit — CS2Collections.net
Gamma 2 Case

Return from opening Gamma 2 Case

In-game case, Valve odds Opening price$5.06
E Grade
59% Payout
−$2.09 Average loss per opening

Top prize ★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler · $1 578.69 · 0.0052% chance per opening

What happens to $100

Scenario: open the case 19 times with the whole $100 budget and sell every drop at market prices. Here is what you get:

Openings it buys 19
Left after 19 openings $23.50 8 times out of 10: between $12.41 and $130.40
Chance to end ahead 15%
Chance to double 3.5%
Chance at the top prize 0.10%
Openings until zero 24

The calculation uses current market prices and published odds. It is a statistical estimate; an individual opening can differ.

Ranked 13 of 42 CS2 cases by payout

Cases with a similar payout

Questions

Why is the Gamma 2 Case payout below 100%?

The case and key cost $5.06, and almost everything that drops is a cheap skin: 79.92% for the lowest tier, 0.26% for a knife or gloves. Multiply the odds by market prices and you get 59% — that much of every 100 comes back on average.

Where do the prices come from?

The best market offers at the time of the calculation: Skinport, CSFloat, Market.CSGO, DMarket, Waxpeer and White.Market. That is what a drop actually sells for, not a display price.

What does “openings until zero” mean?

The model sells each drop and opens again while the balance covers the next case. For Gamma 2 Case, the median balance falls below the opening price after about 24 openings attempts.

What if I get lucky?

Over 19 openings the chance to pull ★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler is 0.1%, and the chance to double the budget is 3.5%.