Home CS2 Trade-Up Contracts CS2 Covert → Extraordinary trade-ups Sets evaluated 14,575
With positive expectancy 0
Best expected profit −$30.84
Updated 43 minutes ago
Ready contracts Best trade-ups at live prices Builder Assemble your own ten-item contract
All transitions Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Mil-Spec → Restricted Restricted → Classified Classified → Covert Selling fee No fee Market 7% Baseline 10% Steam
Sort by · Budget ⌄ Sort by Profit ROI Chance of profit Input cost
Budget Any ≤ $10.00 ≤ $50.00 ≤ $250.00 ≤ $1 000.00
Regular contracts 20 ×5 5× AWP | Queen's Gambit The Dead Hand Collection · WW · Well-Worn
Negative right now
Buying blind −$32.58
Input cost $218.75
ROI −14.9%
Chance of profit 18.2%
Contract inputs: 5× AWP | Queen's Gambit
On the worst float $171.11
On the best float $190.33
Result spread $157.16
Price per item $43.75 Profit range Worst outcome $171.11, best $190.33; buying blind $186.17.
ROI: −21.8% … −13.0% (−14.9%)
Averaged input float range: 0.3800 … 0.4500
· Output wear: Field-Tested
An item bought on a third-party market arrives by trade and cannot be resold on Steam for seven days.
×4 4× AWP | Queen's Gambit + 1× Glock-18 | Neo-Noir The Dead Hand Collection · WW · Well-Worn
Negative right now
Buying blind −$32.96
Input cost $202.40
ROI −16.3%
Chance of profit 22.6%
Contract inputs: 4× AWP | Queen's Gambit + 1× Glock-18 | Neo-Noir
On the worst float $156.03
On the best float $173.15
Result spread $150.94
Price per item $40.48 Profit range Worst outcome $156.03, best $173.15; buying blind $169.44.
ROI: −22.9% … −14.5% (−16.3%)
Averaged input float range: 0.3800 … 0.4500
· Output wear: Field-Tested
An item bought on a third-party market arrives by trade and cannot be resold on Steam for seven days.
×4 4× AWP | Queen's Gambit + 1× USP-S | The Traitor The Dead Hand Collection · WW · Well-Worn
Negative right now
Buying blind −$33.17
Input cost $202.61
ROI −16.4%
Chance of profit 22.6%
Contract inputs: 4× AWP | Queen's Gambit + 1× USP-S | The Traitor
On the worst float $156.03
On the best float $173.15
Result spread $150.94
Price per item $40.52 Profit range Worst outcome $156.03, best $173.15; buying blind $169.44.
ROI: −23.0% … −14.5% (−16.4%)
Averaged input float range: 0.3800 … 0.4500
· Output wear: Field-Tested
An item bought on a third-party market arrives by trade and cannot be resold on Steam for seven days.
×4 4× Glock-18 | Fully Tuned + 1× Glock-18 | Neo-Noir The Dead Hand Collection · WW · Well-Worn
Negative right now
Buying blind −$33.28
Input cost $202.72
ROI −16.4%
Chance of profit 22.6%
Contract inputs: 4× Glock-18 | Fully Tuned + 1× Glock-18 | Neo-Noir
On the worst float $156.03
On the best float $173.15
Result spread $150.94
Price per item $40.54 Profit range Worst outcome $156.03, best $173.15; buying blind $169.44.
ROI: −23.0% … −14.6% (−16.4%)
Averaged input float range: 0.3800 … 0.4500
· Output wear: Field-Tested
An item bought on a third-party market arrives by trade and cannot be resold on Steam for seven days.
×3 3× AWP | Queen's Gambit + 2× Glock-18 | Neo-Noir The Dead Hand Collection · WW · Well-Worn
Negative right now
Buying blind −$33.34
Input cost $186.05
ROI −17.9%
Chance of profit 21.4%
Contract inputs: 3× AWP | Queen's Gambit + 2× Glock-18 | Neo-Noir
On the worst float $140.95
On the best float $155.96
Result spread $142.49
Price per item $37.21 Profit range Worst outcome $140.95, best $155.96; buying blind $152.71.
ROI: −24.2% … −16.2% (−17.9%)
Averaged input float range: 0.3800 … 0.4500
· Output wear: Field-Tested
An item bought on a third-party market arrives by trade and cannot be resold on Steam for seven days.
×4 4× Glock-18 | Fully Tuned + 1× USP-S | The Traitor The Dead Hand Collection · WW · Well-Worn
Negative right now
Buying blind −$33.49
Input cost $202.93
ROI −16.5%
Chance of profit 22.6%
Contract inputs: 4× Glock-18 | Fully Tuned + 1× USP-S | The Traitor
On the worst float $156.03
On the best float $173.15
Result spread $150.94
Price per item $40.59 Profit range Worst outcome $156.03, best $173.15; buying blind $169.44.
ROI: −23.1% … −14.7% (−16.5%)
Averaged input float range: 0.3800 … 0.4500
· Output wear: Field-Tested
An item bought on a third-party market arrives by trade and cannot be resold on Steam for seven days.
×3 3× Glock-18 | Fully Tuned + 2× Glock-18 | Neo-Noir The Dead Hand Collection · WW · Well-Worn
Negative right now
Buying blind −$33.58
Input cost $186.29
ROI −18.0%
Chance of profit 21.4%
Contract inputs: 3× Glock-18 | Fully Tuned + 2× Glock-18 | Neo-Noir
On the worst float $140.95
On the best float $155.96
Result spread $142.49
Price per item $37.26 Profit range Worst outcome $140.95, best $155.96; buying blind $152.71.
ROI: −24.3% … −16.3% (−18.0%)
Averaged input float range: 0.3800 … 0.4500
· Output wear: Field-Tested
An item bought on a third-party market arrives by trade and cannot be resold on Steam for seven days.
×3 3× AWP | Queen's Gambit + 2× USP-S | The Traitor The Dead Hand Collection · WW · Well-Worn
Negative right now
Buying blind −$33.76
Input cost $186.47
ROI −18.1%
Chance of profit 21.4%
Contract inputs: 3× AWP | Queen's Gambit + 2× USP-S | The Traitor
On the worst float $140.95
On the best float $155.96
Result spread $142.49
Price per item $37.29 Profit range Worst outcome $140.95, best $155.96; buying blind $152.71.
ROI: −24.4% … −16.4% (−18.1%)
Averaged input float range: 0.3800 … 0.4500
· Output wear: Field-Tested
An item bought on a third-party market arrives by trade and cannot be resold on Steam for seven days.
×3 3× Glock-18 | Fully Tuned + 2× USP-S | The Traitor The Dead Hand Collection · WW · Well-Worn
Negative right now
Buying blind −$34.00
Input cost $186.71
ROI −18.2%
Chance of profit 21.4%
Contract inputs: 3× Glock-18 | Fully Tuned + 2× USP-S | The Traitor
On the worst float $140.95
On the best float $155.96
Result spread $142.49
Price per item $37.34 Profit range Worst outcome $140.95, best $155.96; buying blind $152.71.
ROI: −24.5% … −16.5% (−18.2%)
Averaged input float range: 0.3800 … 0.4500
· Output wear: Field-Tested
An item bought on a third-party market arrives by trade and cannot be resold on Steam for seven days.
×4 4× AWP | Queen's Gambit + 1× Desert Eagle | Code Red The Dead Hand Collection · WW · Well-Worn
Negative right now
Buying blind −$35.41
Input cost $212.25
ROI −16.7%
Chance of profit 23.7%
Contract inputs: 4× AWP | Queen's Gambit + 1× Desert Eagle | Code Red
On the worst float $164.45
On the best float $180.26
Result spread $151.91
Price per item $42.45 Profit range Worst outcome $164.45, best $180.26; buying blind $176.84.
ROI: −22.5% … −15.1% (−16.7%)
Averaged input float range: 0.3800 … 0.4500
· Output wear: Field-Tested
An item bought on a third-party market arrives by trade and cannot be resold on Steam for seven days.
×5 5× Glock-18 | Fully Tuned The Dead Hand Collection · BS · Battle-Scarred
Negative right now
Buying blind −$35.61
Input cost $169.40
ROI −21.0%
Chance of profit 18.2%
Contract inputs: 5× Glock-18 | Fully Tuned
On the worst float $133.79
On the best float $171.11
Result spread $96.15
Price per item $33.88 Profit range Worst outcome $133.79, best $171.11; buying blind $133.79.
ROI: −21.0% … +1.0% (−21.0%)
The contract stays profitable while the averaged input float is below 0.5270. Buying 5 random Battle-Scarred listings, that happens 0.0% of the time.
Averaged input float range: 0.4500 … 1.0000
· Output wear: Battle-Scarred
An item bought on a third-party market arrives by trade and cannot be resold on Steam for seven days.
×4 4× Glock-18 | Fully Tuned + 1× Desert Eagle | Code Red The Dead Hand Collection · WW · Well-Worn
Negative right now
Buying blind −$35.73
Input cost $212.57
ROI −16.8%
Chance of profit 23.7%
Contract inputs: 4× Glock-18 | Fully Tuned + 1× Desert Eagle | Code Red
On the worst float $164.45
On the best float $180.26
Result spread $151.91
Price per item $42.51 Profit range Worst outcome $164.45, best $180.26; buying blind $176.84.
ROI: −22.6% … −15.2% (−16.8%)
Averaged input float range: 0.3800 … 0.4500
· Output wear: Field-Tested
An item bought on a third-party market arrives by trade and cannot be resold on Steam for seven days.
×4 4× Glock-18 | Fully Tuned + 1× AWP | Chromatic Aberration The Dead Hand Collection · BS · Battle-Scarred
Negative right now
Buying blind −$36.06
Input cost $158.93
ROI −22.7%
Chance of profit 19.8%
Contract inputs: 4× Glock-18 | Fully Tuned + 1× AWP | Chromatic Aberration
On the worst float $122.87
On the best float $156.03
Result spread $94.26
Price per item $31.79 Profit range Worst outcome $122.87, best $156.03; buying blind $122.87.
ROI: −22.7% … −1.8% (−22.7%)
Averaged input float range: 0.4886 … 1.0000
· Output wear: Battle-Scarred
An item bought on a third-party market arrives by trade and cannot be resold on Steam for seven days.
×4 4× Glock-18 | Fully Tuned + 1× AK-47 | Asiimov The Dead Hand Collection · BS · Battle-Scarred
Thin liquidity Negative right now
Buying blind −$36.92
Input cost $170.52
ROI −21.7%
Chance of profit 19.9%
Contract inputs: 4× Glock-18 | Fully Tuned + 1× AK-47 | Asiimov
On the worst float $133.56
On the best float $164.47
Result spread $102.24
Price per item $34.10 Profit range Worst outcome $133.56, best $164.47; buying blind $133.60.
ROI: −21.7% … −3.5% (−21.7%)
Averaged input float range: 0.4831 … 1.0000
· Output wear: Factory New
An item bought on a third-party market arrives by trade and cannot be resold on Steam for seven days.
×4 4× AWP | Queen's Gambit + 1× AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge The Dead Hand Collection · WW · Well-Worn
Thin liquidity Negative right now
Buying blind −$37.03
Input cost $200.89
ROI −18.4%
Chance of profit 20.2%
Contract inputs: 4× AWP | Queen's Gambit + 1× AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge
On the worst float $150.78
On the best float $167.48
Result spread $149.04
Price per item $40.18 Profit range Worst outcome $150.78, best $167.48; buying blind $163.86.
ROI: −24.9% … −16.6% (−18.4%)
Averaged input float range: 0.3800 … 0.4500
· Output wear: Field-Tested
An item bought on a third-party market arrives by trade and cannot be resold on Steam for seven days.
×4 4× AWP | Queen's Gambit + 1× AWP | Chrome Cannon The Dead Hand Collection · WW · Well-Worn
Negative right now
Buying blind −$37.06
Input cost $197.75
ROI −18.7%
Chance of profit 20.2%
Contract inputs: 4× AWP | Queen's Gambit + 1× AWP | Chrome Cannon
On the worst float $148.72
On the best float $164.00
Result spread $150.10
Price per item $39.55 Profit range Worst outcome $148.72, best $164.00; buying blind $160.69.
ROI: −24.8% … −17.1% (−18.7%)
Averaged input float range: 0.3800 … 0.4500
· Output wear: Field-Tested
An item bought on a third-party market arrives by trade and cannot be resold on Steam for seven days.
Collections in this transition 43 How we calculate this The input price is the best buy price across five markets for that exact wear; for regular contracts we take whichever of the normal and Souvenir version is cheaper and actually has enough listings. The outcome price is the same best price for the projected output wear, minus the selling fee. An outcome only counts if at least two independent markets confirm its price. Outcomes without a live price are counted as zero, so the estimate is conservative and their share is shown on its own line. Phase knives trade under one phaseless market hash whose price is the cheapest phase, so gold-tier expected values are understated.
A trade-up contract is an in-game CS2 mechanic by Valve. This site does not trade, does not accept items and is not affiliated with Valve Corporation. Prices come from external markets, refresh hourly and may differ from the live ones; buying ten lots at the shown price is not always possible. On top of the selling fee there are deposit and withdrawal fees, and an item bought on a third-party market arrives by trade and cannot be resold on Steam for seven days. Expected value is an average over many repetitions, not a promise about one attempt: for most contracts the chance of getting back less than you spent is above 50%. Informational material, not financial advice.
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