Home CS2 Trade-Up Contracts CS2 Mil-Spec → Restricted trade-ups Back Sets evaluated 41,627
With positive expectancy 21
Best expected profit $1.27
Updated 36 minutes ago
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All transitions Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Mil-Spec → Restricted Restricted → Classified Classified → Covert Selling fee No fee Market 7% Baseline 10% Steam
Sort by · Budget ⌄ Sort by Profit ROI Chance of profit Input cost
Budget Any ≤ $10.00 ≤ $50.00 ≤ $250.00 ≤ $1 000.00
Regular contracts 20 ×10 10× MP9 | Music Box The 2021 Mirage Collection · BS · Battle-Scarred
Souvenir Thin liquidity
Buying blind +$1.27
Input cost $18.90
ROI +6.7%
Chance of profit 33.3%
Contract inputs: 10× MP9 | Music Box
On the worst float $19.56
On the best float $20.17
Result spread $4.26
Price per item $1.89 Profit range Worst outcome $19.56, best $20.17; buying blind $20.17.
ROI: +3.5% … +6.7% (+6.7%)
Averaged input float range: 0.8182 … 1.0000
· Output wear: Battle-Scarred
An item bought on a third-party market arrives by trade and cannot be resold on Steam for seven days.
×9 9× MP9 | Music Box + 1× Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer The 2021 Mirage Collection · BS · Battle-Scarred
Souvenir Thin liquidity
Buying blind +$1.14
Input cost $17.14
ROI +6.6%
Chance of profit 60.0%
Contract inputs: 9× MP9 | Music Box + 1× Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer
On the worst float $17.73
On the best float $18.28
Result spread $6.97
Price per item $1.71 Profit range Worst outcome $17.73, best $18.28; buying blind $18.28.
ROI: +3.4% … +6.7% (+6.6%)
Averaged input float range: 0.8114 … 1.0000
· Output wear: Battle-Scarred
An item bought on a third-party market arrives by trade and cannot be resold on Steam for seven days.
×9 9× MP9 | Music Box + 1× MP5-SD | Gold Leaf The 2021 Mirage Collection · BS · Battle-Scarred
Souvenir Thin liquidity
Buying blind +$1.13
Input cost $17.07
ROI +6.6%
Chance of profit 60.0%
Contract inputs: 9× MP9 | Music Box + 1× MP5-SD | Gold Leaf
On the worst float $17.65
On the best float $18.20
Result spread $7.16
Price per item $1.71 Profit range Worst outcome $17.65, best $18.20; buying blind $18.20.
ROI: +3.4% … +6.6% (+6.6%)
Averaged input float range: 0.8114 … 1.0000
· Output wear: Battle-Scarred
An item bought on a third-party market arrives by trade and cannot be resold on Steam for seven days.
×9 9× MP9 | Music Box + 1× MP9 | Cobalt Paisley The 2021 Mirage Collection · BS · Battle-Scarred
Souvenir Thin liquidity
Buying blind +$1.13
Input cost $17.13
ROI +6.6%
Chance of profit 60.0%
Contract inputs: 9× MP9 | Music Box + 1× MP9 | Cobalt Paisley
On the worst float $17.71
On the best float $18.26
Result spread $7.01
Price per item $1.71 Profit range Worst outcome $17.71, best $18.26; buying blind $18.26.
ROI: +3.4% … +6.6% (+6.6%)
Averaged input float range: 0.8056 … 1.0000
· Output wear: Battle-Scarred
An item bought on a third-party market arrives by trade and cannot be resold on Steam for seven days.
×9 9× MP9 | Music Box + 1× Five-SeveN | Fraise Crane The 2021 Mirage Collection · BS · Battle-Scarred
Souvenir Thin liquidity
Buying blind +$1.13
Input cost $17.15
ROI +6.6%
Chance of profit 60.0%
Contract inputs: 9× MP9 | Music Box + 1× Five-SeveN | Fraise Crane
On the worst float $17.73
On the best float $18.28
Result spread $6.97
Price per item $1.71 Profit range Worst outcome $17.73, best $18.28; buying blind $18.28.
ROI: +3.4% … +6.6% (+6.6%)
Averaged input float range: 0.8056 … 1.0000
· Output wear: Battle-Scarred
An item bought on a third-party market arrives by trade and cannot be resold on Steam for seven days.
×9 9× MP9 | Music Box + 1× Sawed-Off | Spirit Board The 2021 Mirage Collection · BS · Battle-Scarred
Souvenir Thin liquidity
Buying blind +$1.13
Input cost $17.04
ROI +6.6%
Chance of profit 60.0%
Contract inputs: 9× MP9 | Music Box + 1× Sawed-Off | Spirit Board
On the worst float $17.65
On the best float $18.20
Result spread $7.12
Price per item $1.70 Profit range Worst outcome $17.65, best $18.20; buying blind $18.17.
ROI: +3.6% … +6.8% (+6.6%)
Averaged input float range: 0.7814 … 1.0000
· Output wear: Battle-Scarred
An item bought on a third-party market arrives by trade and cannot be resold on Steam for seven days.
×9 9× MP9 | Music Box + 1× PP-Bizon | RMX The 2021 Mirage Collection · BS · Battle-Scarred
Souvenir Thin liquidity
Buying blind +$1.12
Input cost $17.04
ROI +6.6%
Chance of profit 60.0%
Contract inputs: 9× MP9 | Music Box + 1× PP-Bizon | RMX
On the worst float $17.65
On the best float $18.20
Result spread $7.12
Price per item $1.70 Profit range Worst outcome $17.65, best $18.20; buying blind $18.16.
ROI: +3.6% … +6.8% (+6.6%)
Averaged input float range: 0.7814 … 1.0000
· Output wear: Battle-Scarred
An item bought on a third-party market arrives by trade and cannot be resold on Steam for seven days.
×9 9× MP9 | Music Box + 1× P250 | Small Game The 2021 Mirage Collection · BS · Battle-Scarred
Souvenir Thin liquidity
Buying blind +$1.12
Input cost $17.22
ROI +6.5%
Chance of profit 60.0%
Contract inputs: 9× MP9 | Music Box + 1× P250 | Small Game
On the worst float $17.80
On the best float $18.35
Result spread $6.79
Price per item $1.72 Profit range Worst outcome $17.80, best $18.35; buying blind $18.34.
ROI: +3.4% … +6.6% (+6.5%)
Averaged input float range: 0.8006 … 1.0000
· Output wear: Battle-Scarred
An item bought on a third-party market arrives by trade and cannot be resold on Steam for seven days.
×9 9× MP9 | Music Box + 1× Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle The 2021 Mirage Collection · BS · Battle-Scarred
Souvenir Thin liquidity
Buying blind +$1.11
Input cost $17.15
ROI +6.5%
Chance of profit 60.0%
Contract inputs: 9× MP9 | Music Box + 1× Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle
On the worst float $17.71
On the best float $18.27
Result spread $7.01
Price per item $1.71 Profit range Worst outcome $17.71, best $18.27; buying blind $18.26.
ROI: +3.3% … +6.5% (+6.5%)
Averaged input float range: 0.8139 … 1.0000
· Output wear: Battle-Scarred
An item bought on a third-party market arrives by trade and cannot be resold on Steam for seven days.
×9 9× MP9 | Music Box + 1× FAMAS | 2A2F The 2021 Mirage Collection · BS · Battle-Scarred
Souvenir Thin liquidity
Buying blind +$1.11
Input cost $17.13
ROI +6.5%
Chance of profit 60.0%
Contract inputs: 9× MP9 | Music Box + 1× FAMAS | 2A2F
On the worst float $17.71
On the best float $18.26
Result spread $6.99
Price per item $1.71 Profit range Worst outcome $17.71, best $18.26; buying blind $18.24.
ROI: +3.4% … +6.6% (+6.5%)
Averaged input float range: 0.7887 … 1.0000
· Output wear: Battle-Scarred
An item bought on a third-party market arrives by trade and cannot be resold on Steam for seven days.
×9 9× MP9 | Music Box + 1× MAG-7 | Insomnia The 2021 Mirage Collection · BS · Battle-Scarred
Souvenir Thin liquidity
Buying blind +$1.11
Input cost $17.04
ROI +6.5%
Chance of profit 60.0%
Contract inputs: 9× MP9 | Music Box + 1× MAG-7 | Insomnia
On the worst float $17.63
On the best float $18.18
Result spread $7.17
Price per item $1.70 Profit range Worst outcome $17.63, best $18.18; buying blind $18.15.
ROI: +3.5% … +6.7% (+6.5%)
Averaged input float range: 0.7814 … 1.0000
· Output wear: Battle-Scarred
An item bought on a third-party market arrives by trade and cannot be resold on Steam for seven days.
×9 9× MP9 | Music Box + 1× P90 | Facility Negative The 2021 Mirage Collection · BS · Battle-Scarred
Souvenir Thin liquidity
Buying blind +$1.10
Input cost $17.17
ROI +6.4%
Chance of profit 60.0%
Contract inputs: 9× MP9 | Music Box + 1× P90 | Facility Negative
On the worst float $17.73
On the best float $18.27
Result spread $6.98
Price per item $1.72 Profit range Worst outcome $17.73, best $18.27; buying blind $18.27.
ROI: +3.3% … +6.4% (+6.4%)
Averaged input float range: 0.8264 … 1.0000
· Output wear: Battle-Scarred
An item bought on a third-party market arrives by trade and cannot be resold on Steam for seven days.
×9 9× MP9 | Music Box + 1× P250 | Red Tide The 2021 Mirage Collection · BS · Battle-Scarred
Souvenir Thin liquidity
Buying blind +$1.10
Input cost $17.12
ROI +6.4%
Chance of profit 60.0%
Contract inputs: 9× MP9 | Music Box + 1× P250 | Red Tide
On the worst float $17.68
On the best float $18.23
Result spread $7.08
Price per item $1.71 Profit range Worst outcome $17.68, best $18.23; buying blind $18.22.
ROI: +3.3% … +6.5% (+6.4%)
Averaged input float range: 0.7964 … 1.0000
· Output wear: Battle-Scarred
An item bought on a third-party market arrives by trade and cannot be resold on Steam for seven days.
×9 9× MP9 | Music Box + 1× MAG-7 | MAGnitude The 2021 Mirage Collection · BS · Battle-Scarred
Souvenir Thin liquidity
Buying blind +$1.10
Input cost $17.06
ROI +6.4%
Chance of profit 60.0%
Contract inputs: 9× MP9 | Music Box + 1× MAG-7 | MAGnitude
On the worst float $17.64
On the best float $18.20
Result spread $7.14
Price per item $1.71 Profit range Worst outcome $17.64, best $18.20; buying blind $18.16.
ROI: +3.4% … +6.7% (+6.4%)
Averaged input float range: 0.7814 … 1.0000
· Output wear: Battle-Scarred
An item bought on a third-party market arrives by trade and cannot be resold on Steam for seven days.
×9 9× MP9 | Music Box + 1× MAG-7 | Resupply The 2021 Mirage Collection · BS · Battle-Scarred
Souvenir Thin liquidity
Buying blind +$1.09
Input cost $17.06
ROI +6.4%
Chance of profit 60.0%
Contract inputs: 9× MP9 | Music Box + 1× MAG-7 | Resupply
On the worst float $17.64
On the best float $18.19
Result spread $7.16
Price per item $1.71 Profit range Worst outcome $17.64, best $18.19; buying blind $18.15.
ROI: +3.4% … +6.6% (+6.4%)
Averaged input float range: 0.7814 … 1.0000
· Output wear: Battle-Scarred
An item bought on a third-party market arrives by trade and cannot be resold on Steam for seven days.
×9 9× MP9 | Music Box + 1× M4A4 | Poly Mag The 2021 Mirage Collection · BS · Battle-Scarred
Souvenir Thin liquidity
Buying blind +$1.09
Input cost $17.06
ROI +6.4%
Chance of profit 60.0%
Contract inputs: 9× MP9 | Music Box + 1× M4A4 | Poly Mag
On the worst float $17.63
On the best float $18.18
Result spread $7.17
Price per item $1.71 Profit range Worst outcome $17.63, best $18.18; buying blind $18.15.
ROI: +3.4% … +6.6% (+6.4%)
Averaged input float range: 0.7814 … 1.0000
· Output wear: Battle-Scarred
An item bought on a third-party market arrives by trade and cannot be resold on Steam for seven days.
×9 9× MP9 | Music Box + 1× MAC-10 | Light Box The 2021 Mirage Collection · BS · Battle-Scarred
Souvenir Thin liquidity
Buying blind +$1.09
Input cost $17.06
ROI +6.4%
Chance of profit 60.0%
Contract inputs: 9× MP9 | Music Box + 1× MAC-10 | Light Box
On the worst float $17.63
On the best float $18.18
Result spread $7.17
Price per item $1.71 Profit range Worst outcome $17.63, best $18.18; buying blind $18.15.
ROI: +3.4% … +6.6% (+6.4%)
Averaged input float range: 0.7814 … 1.0000
· Output wear: Battle-Scarred
An item bought on a third-party market arrives by trade and cannot be resold on Steam for seven days.
×9 9× MP9 | Music Box + 1× P90 | Freight The 2021 Mirage Collection · BS · Battle-Scarred
Souvenir Thin liquidity
Buying blind +$1.09
Input cost $17.06
ROI +6.4%
Chance of profit 60.0%
Contract inputs: 9× MP9 | Music Box + 1× P90 | Freight
On the worst float $17.63
On the best float $18.18
Result spread $7.17
Price per item $1.71 Profit range Worst outcome $17.63, best $18.18; buying blind $18.15.
ROI: +3.4% … +6.6% (+6.4%)
Averaged input float range: 0.7814 … 1.0000
· Output wear: Battle-Scarred
An item bought on a third-party market arrives by trade and cannot be resold on Steam for seven days.
×9 9× MP9 | Music Box + 1× Sawed-Off | Yorick The 2021 Mirage Collection · BS · Battle-Scarred
Souvenir Thin liquidity
Buying blind +$1.08
Input cost $17.13
ROI +6.3%
Chance of profit 60.0%
Contract inputs: 9× MP9 | Music Box + 1× Sawed-Off | Yorick
On the worst float $17.69
On the best float $18.25
Result spread $7.02
Price per item $1.71 Profit range Worst outcome $17.69, best $18.25; buying blind $18.21.
ROI: +3.3% … +6.5% (+6.3%)
Averaged input float range: 0.7814 … 1.0000
· Output wear: Battle-Scarred
An item bought on a third-party market arrives by trade and cannot be resold on Steam for seven days.
×9 9× MP9 | Music Box + 1× MP5-SD | Statics The 2021 Mirage Collection · BS · Battle-Scarred
Souvenir Thin liquidity
Buying blind +$1.07
Input cost $17.11
ROI +6.3%
Chance of profit 60.0%
Contract inputs: 9× MP9 | Music Box + 1× MP5-SD | Statics
On the worst float $17.67
On the best float $18.22
Result spread $7.08
Price per item $1.71 Profit range Worst outcome $17.67, best $18.22; buying blind $18.18.
ROI: +3.3% … +6.5% (+6.3%)
Averaged input float range: 0.7814 … 1.0000
· Output wear: Battle-Scarred
An item bought on a third-party market arrives by trade and cannot be resold on Steam for seven days.
StatTrak™ 20 ×6 6× Nova | Dark Sigil + 4× Sawed-Off | Fusion The Kilowatt Collection · FN · Factory New
StatTrak™
Buying blind +$0.05
Input cost $5.56
ROI +0.9%
Chance of profit 42.4%
Contract inputs: 6× Nova | Dark Sigil + 4× Sawed-Off | Fusion
On the worst float $2.53
On the best float $5.76
Result spread $3.74
Price per item $0.56 Profit range Worst outcome $2.53, best $5.76; buying blind $5.61.
ROI: −54.6% … +3.6% (+0.9%)
The contract stays profitable while the averaged input float is below 0.0700. Buying 10 random Factory New listings, that happens 95.4% of the time.
Averaged input float range: 0.0000 … 0.0881
· Output wear: Factory New
An item bought on a third-party market arrives by trade and cannot be resold on Steam for seven days.
×7 7× Nova | Dark Sigil + 3× SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer The Kilowatt Collection · FN · Factory New
StatTrak™ Thin liquidity Negative right now
Buying blind −$0.01
Input cost $5.44
ROI −0.3%
Chance of profit 33.4%
Contract inputs: 7× Nova | Dark Sigil + 3× SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer
On the worst float $2.94
On the best float $5.86
Result spread $4.62
Price per item $0.54 Profit range Worst outcome $2.94, best $5.86; buying blind $5.43.
ROI: −46.0% … +7.7% (−0.3%)
The contract stays profitable while the averaged input float is below 0.0700. Buying 10 random Factory New listings, that happens 67.1% of the time.
Averaged input float range: 0.0000 … 0.1000
· Output wear: Factory New
An item bought on a third-party market arrives by trade and cannot be resold on Steam for seven days.
×5 5× Nova | Dark Sigil + 5× Sawed-Off | Fusion The Kilowatt Collection · FN · Factory New
StatTrak™ Negative right now
Buying blind −$0.06
Input cost $6.25
ROI −0.9%
Chance of profit 29.6%
Contract inputs: 5× Nova | Dark Sigil + 5× Sawed-Off | Fusion
On the worst float $2.68
On the best float $6.26
Result spread $4.00
Price per item $0.63 Profit range Worst outcome $2.68, best $6.26; buying blind $6.19.
ROI: −57.1% … +0.2% (−0.9%)
The contract stays profitable while the averaged input float is below 0.0700. Buying 10 random Factory New listings, that happens 98.0% of the time.
Averaged input float range: 0.0000 … 0.0851
· Output wear: Factory New
An item bought on a third-party market arrives by trade and cannot be resold on Steam for seven days.
×6 6× Nova | Dark Sigil + 4× SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer The Kilowatt Collection · FN · Factory New
StatTrak™ Thin liquidity Negative right now
Buying blind −$0.13
Input cost $6.32
ROI −2.0%
Chance of profit 31.8%
Contract inputs: 6× Nova | Dark Sigil + 4× SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer
On the worst float $3.29
On the best float $6.57
Result spread $5.04
Price per item $0.63 Profit range Worst outcome $3.29, best $6.57; buying blind $6.19.
ROI: −48.0% … +3.9% (−2.0%)
The contract stays profitable while the averaged input float is below 0.0700. Buying 10 random Factory New listings, that happens 67.3% of the time.
Averaged input float range: 0.0000 … 0.1000
· Output wear: Factory New
An item bought on a third-party market arrives by trade and cannot be resold on Steam for seven days.
×8 8× UMP-45 | Fragment + 2× PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone The Dead Hand Collection · MW · Minimal Wear
StatTrak™ Thin liquidity Negative right now
Buying blind −$0.14
Input cost $5.02
ROI −2.8%
Chance of profit 33.9%
Contract inputs: 8× UMP-45 | Fragment + 2× PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone
On the worst float $3.22
On the best float $9.32
Result spread $3.80
Price per item $0.50 Profit range Worst outcome $3.22, best $9.32; buying blind $4.88.
ROI: −35.9% … +85.6% (−2.8%)
The contract stays profitable while the averaged input float is below 0.1400. Buying 10 random Minimal Wear listings, that happens 70.8% of the time.
Averaged input float range: 0.0660 … 0.1700
· Output wear: Factory New
An item bought on a third-party market arrives by trade and cannot be resold on Steam for seven days.
×5 5× M249 | Bock Blocks + 5× Nova | Dark Sigil The Dead Hand Collection · FN · Factory New
StatTrak™ Negative right now
Buying blind −$0.16
Input cost $6.35
ROI −2.5%
Chance of profit 29.6%
Contract inputs: 5× M249 | Bock Blocks + 5× Nova | Dark Sigil
On the worst float $2.68
On the best float $6.26
Result spread $4.00
Price per item $0.64 Profit range Worst outcome $2.68, best $6.26; buying blind $6.19.
ROI: −57.7% … −1.4% (−2.5%)
Averaged input float range: 0.0000 … 0.0851
· Output wear: Factory New
An item bought on a third-party market arrives by trade and cannot be resold on Steam for seven days.
×6 6× Sawed-Off | Fusion + 4× Nova | Dark Sigil The Dead Hand Collection · FN · Factory New
StatTrak™ Negative right now
Buying blind −$0.20
Input cost $6.94
ROI −2.9%
Chance of profit 23.8%
Contract inputs: 6× Sawed-Off | Fusion + 4× Nova | Dark Sigil
On the worst float $2.84
On the best float $6.77
Result spread $4.17
Price per item $0.69 Profit range Worst outcome $2.84, best $6.77; buying blind $6.74.
ROI: −59.1% … −2.5% (−2.9%)
Averaged input float range: 0.0000 … 0.0821
· Output wear: Factory New
An item bought on a third-party market arrives by trade and cannot be resold on Steam for seven days.
×5 5× Nova | Dark Sigil + 5× SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer The Kilowatt Collection · FN · Factory New
StatTrak™ Thin liquidity Negative right now
Buying blind −$0.24
Input cost $7.20
ROI −3.3%
Chance of profit 39.8%
Contract inputs: 5× Nova | Dark Sigil + 5× SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer
On the worst float $3.64
On the best float $7.28
Result spread $5.32
Price per item $0.72 Profit range Worst outcome $3.64, best $7.28; buying blind $6.96.
ROI: −49.5% … +1.1% (−3.3%)
The contract stays profitable while the averaged input float is below 0.0700. Buying 10 random Factory New listings, that happens 67.5% of the time.
Averaged input float range: 0.0000 … 0.0999
· Output wear: Factory New
An item bought on a third-party market arrives by trade and cannot be resold on Steam for seven days.
×7 7× Sawed-Off | Fusion + 3× MAC-10 | Rangeen The Dead Hand Collection · FN · Factory New
StatTrak™ Thin liquidity Negative right now
Buying blind −$0.26
Input cost $10.03
ROI −2.6%
Chance of profit 46.9%
Contract inputs: 7× Sawed-Off | Fusion + 3× MAC-10 | Rangeen
On the worst float $4.22
On the best float $10.19
Result spread $5.97
Price per item $1.00 Profit range Worst outcome $4.22, best $10.19; buying blind $9.77.
ROI: −57.9% … +1.6% (−2.6%)
The contract stays profitable while the averaged input float is below 0.0700. Buying 10 random Factory New listings, that happens 90.3% of the time.
Averaged input float range: 0.0000 … 0.0910
· Output wear: Factory New
An item bought on a third-party market arrives by trade and cannot be resold on Steam for seven days.
×8 8× Sawed-Off | Fusion + 2× MAC-10 | Rangeen The Dead Hand Collection · FN · Factory New
StatTrak™ Thin liquidity Negative right now
Buying blind −$0.28
Input cost $9.92
ROI −2.8%
Chance of profit 46.4%
Contract inputs: 8× Sawed-Off | Fusion + 2× MAC-10 | Rangeen
On the worst float $3.97
On the best float $9.72
Result spread $5.41
Price per item $0.99 Profit range Worst outcome $3.97, best $9.72; buying blind $9.64.
ROI: −59.9% … −2.0% (−2.8%)
Averaged input float range: 0.0000 … 0.0840
· Output wear: Factory New
An item bought on a third-party market arrives by trade and cannot be resold on Steam for seven days.
×8 8× Sawed-Off | Fusion + 2× M249 | Spectre The Dead Hand Collection · FN · Factory New
StatTrak™ Negative right now
Buying blind −$0.28
Input cost $9.02
ROI −3.1%
Chance of profit 43.3%
Contract inputs: 8× Sawed-Off | Fusion + 2× M249 | Spectre
On the worst float $3.78
On the best float $8.83
Result spread $4.15
Price per item $0.90 Profit range Worst outcome $3.78, best $8.83; buying blind $8.74.
ROI: −58.1% … −2.1% (−3.1%)
Averaged input float range: 0.0000 … 0.0840
· Output wear: Factory New
An item bought on a third-party market arrives by trade and cannot be resold on Steam for seven days.
×7 7× Sawed-Off | Fusion + 3× M249 | Spectre The Dead Hand Collection · FN · Factory New
StatTrak™ Negative right now
Buying blind −$0.31
Input cost $8.68
ROI −3.6%
Chance of profit 42.1%
Contract inputs: 7× Sawed-Off | Fusion + 3× M249 | Spectre
On the worst float $3.94
On the best float $8.85
Result spread $4.20
Price per item $0.87 Profit range Worst outcome $3.94, best $8.85; buying blind $8.37.
ROI: −54.6% … +1.9% (−3.6%)
The contract stays profitable while the averaged input float is below 0.0700. Buying 10 random Factory New listings, that happens 90.3% of the time.
Averaged input float range: 0.0000 … 0.0910
· Output wear: Factory New
An item bought on a third-party market arrives by trade and cannot be resold on Steam for seven days.
×8 8× Sawed-Off | Fusion + 2× UMP-45 | Oscillator The Dead Hand Collection · FN · Factory New
StatTrak™ Thin liquidity Negative right now
Buying blind −$0.31
Input cost $9.42
ROI −3.3%
Chance of profit 35.5%
Contract inputs: 8× Sawed-Off | Fusion + 2× UMP-45 | Oscillator
On the worst float $3.75
On the best float $9.19
Result spread $7.06
Price per item $0.94 Profit range Worst outcome $3.75, best $9.19; buying blind $9.11.
ROI: −60.2% … −2.4% (−3.3%)
Averaged input float range: 0.0000 … 0.0840
· Output wear: Factory New
An item bought on a third-party market arrives by trade and cannot be resold on Steam for seven days.
×6 6× M249 | Bock Blocks + 4× Nova | Dark Sigil The Dead Hand Collection · FN · Factory New
StatTrak™ Negative right now
Buying blind −$0.32
Input cost $7.06
ROI −4.5%
Chance of profit 23.8%
Contract inputs: 6× M249 | Bock Blocks + 4× Nova | Dark Sigil
On the worst float $2.84
On the best float $6.77
Result spread $4.17
Price per item $0.71 Profit range Worst outcome $2.84, best $6.77; buying blind $6.74.
ROI: −59.8% … −4.1% (−4.5%)
Averaged input float range: 0.0000 … 0.0821
· Output wear: Factory New
An item bought on a third-party market arrives by trade and cannot be resold on Steam for seven days.
×6 6× SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer + 4× Nova | Dark Sigil The Gallery Collection · FN · Factory New
StatTrak™ Thin liquidity Negative right now
Buying blind −$0.35
Input cost $8.08
ROI −4.4%
Chance of profit 35.8%
Contract inputs: 6× SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer + 4× Nova | Dark Sigil
On the worst float $3.98
On the best float $7.99
Result spread $5.49
Price per item $0.81 Profit range Worst outcome $3.98, best $7.99; buying blind $7.73.
ROI: −50.7% … −1.2% (−4.4%)
Averaged input float range: 0.0000 … 0.0999
· Output wear: Factory New
An item bought on a third-party market arrives by trade and cannot be resold on Steam for seven days.
×7 7× Sawed-Off | Fusion + 3× Nova | Dark Sigil The Dead Hand Collection · FN · Factory New
StatTrak™ Negative right now
Buying blind −$0.36
Input cost $7.63
ROI −4.8%
Chance of profit 27.9%
Contract inputs: 7× Sawed-Off | Fusion + 3× Nova | Dark Sigil
On the worst float $3.00
On the best float $7.27
Result spread $4.27
Price per item $0.76 Profit range Worst outcome $3.00, best $7.27; buying blind $7.27.
ROI: −60.7% … −4.7% (−4.8%)
Averaged input float range: 0.0000 … 0.0791
· Output wear: Factory New
An item bought on a third-party market arrives by trade and cannot be resold on Steam for seven days.
×7 7× Sawed-Off | Fusion + 3× UMP-45 | Oscillator The Dead Hand Collection · FN · Factory New
StatTrak™ Thin liquidity Negative right now
Buying blind −$0.39
Input cost $9.28
ROI −4.2%
Chance of profit 31.3%
Contract inputs: 7× Sawed-Off | Fusion + 3× UMP-45 | Oscillator
On the worst float $3.89
On the best float $9.40
Result spread $7.96
Price per item $0.93 Profit range Worst outcome $3.89, best $9.40; buying blind $8.89.
ROI: −58.1% … +1.3% (−4.2%)
The contract stays profitable while the averaged input float is below 0.0700. Buying 10 random Factory New listings, that happens 90.3% of the time.
Averaged input float range: 0.0000 … 0.0910
· Output wear: Factory New
An item bought on a third-party market arrives by trade and cannot be resold on Steam for seven days.
×7 7× M249 | Bock Blocks + 3× MAC-10 | Rangeen The Dead Hand Collection · FN · Factory New
StatTrak™ Thin liquidity Negative right now
Buying blind −$0.40
Input cost $10.17
ROI −4.0%
Chance of profit 46.9%
Contract inputs: 7× M249 | Bock Blocks + 3× MAC-10 | Rangeen
On the worst float $4.22
On the best float $10.19
Result spread $5.97
Price per item $1.02 Profit range Worst outcome $4.22, best $10.19; buying blind $9.77.
ROI: −58.5% … +0.2% (−4.0%)
The contract stays profitable while the averaged input float is below 0.0700. Buying 10 random Factory New listings, that happens 90.3% of the time.
Averaged input float range: 0.0000 … 0.0910
· Output wear: Factory New
An item bought on a third-party market arrives by trade and cannot be resold on Steam for seven days.
×8 8× Sawed-Off | Fusion + 2× SCAR-20 | Outbreak The Dead Hand Collection · FN · Factory New
StatTrak™ Negative right now
Buying blind −$0.42
Input cost $9.76
ROI −4.3%
Chance of profit 38.1%
Contract inputs: 8× Sawed-Off | Fusion + 2× SCAR-20 | Outbreak
On the worst float $3.94
On the best float $9.44
Result spread $5.12
Price per item $0.98 Profit range Worst outcome $3.94, best $9.44; buying blind $9.34.
ROI: −59.6% … −3.3% (−4.3%)
Averaged input float range: 0.0000 … 0.0840
· Output wear: Factory New
An item bought on a third-party market arrives by trade and cannot be resold on Steam for seven days.
×8 8× M249 | Bock Blocks + 2× MAC-10 | Rangeen The Dead Hand Collection · FN · Factory New
StatTrak™ Thin liquidity Negative right now
Buying blind −$0.44
Input cost $10.08
ROI −4.3%
Chance of profit 46.4%
Contract inputs: 8× M249 | Bock Blocks + 2× MAC-10 | Rangeen
On the worst float $3.97
On the best float $9.72
Result spread $5.41
Price per item $1.01 Profit range Worst outcome $3.97, best $9.72; buying blind $9.64.
ROI: −60.6% … −3.5% (−4.3%)
Averaged input float range: 0.0000 … 0.0840
· Output wear: Factory New
An item bought on a third-party market arrives by trade and cannot be resold on Steam for seven days.
Collections in this transition 88 How we calculate this The input price is the best buy price across five markets for that exact wear; for regular contracts we take whichever of the normal and Souvenir version is cheaper and actually has enough listings. The outcome price is the same best price for the projected output wear, minus the selling fee. An outcome only counts if at least two independent markets confirm its price. Outcomes without a live price are counted as zero, so the estimate is conservative and their share is shown on its own line. Phase knives trade under one phaseless market hash whose price is the cheapest phase, so gold-tier expected values are understated.
A trade-up contract is an in-game CS2 mechanic by Valve. This site does not trade, does not accept items and is not affiliated with Valve Corporation. Prices come from external markets, refresh hourly and may differ from the live ones; buying ten lots at the shown price is not always possible. On top of the selling fee there are deposit and withdrawal fees, and an item bought on a third-party market arrives by trade and cannot be resold on Steam for seven days. Expected value is an average over many repetitions, not a promise about one attempt: for most contracts the chance of getting back less than you spent is above 50%. Informational material, not financial advice.